All trends
The ruling elite
Large-scale indiscriminate repression as public sector employment expands thanks to budgetary injections
February 22 – February 28
Purges, repression, carte blanche for the security forces, and a changing social contract
February 15 – February 21
Lukashenka announces the outlines of constitutional reform proposals as the authorities attack the private sector
February 8 – February 14
Security forces intensify their anti-corruption campaign and constitutional reform comes to nothing
February 1 – February 7
Authorities ramp up threats to society and the nomenklatura in the run-up to All Belarusian People’s Assembly
January 25 – January 31
The quality of state administration and public services deteriorates as the authorities continue to withdraw funds from the population
January 18 – January 24
Lukashenka is hoping for a forceful resolution of the political crisis
January 11 – January 17
Lukashenka is hoping to cement the vertical power structure at the All-Belarusian Assembly; security forces carry out purges in residential areas in large cities targeting protesters
January 4 – January 10
2020: The state lost touch with society and resumed financial intervention in the public sector
January 4 – January 10
The Belarusian authorities aim to increase taxation as Lukashenka takes transfer of power off the table
December 14 – December 20
The authorities restrict assistance to the private sector and tighten foreign travel rules for Belarusians
December 7 – December 13
While Covid-19 brings the Belarusian healthcare system to the verge of collapse, the authorities increase repression against clerics to restrain religious organisations
November 30 – December 6
Loyalty to Lukashenka continues to erode as he doubles down on the use of force to curtail protests
November 23 – November 29
The authorities stake their future on the security forces, not on dialogue
November 16 – November 22
The authorities pin their hopes on constitutional reforms as public confidence in public institutions continues to crumble due to the actions of security forces
November 9 – November 15
The authorities continue to try to redefine the news agenda and augment repression with “political propaganda”
November 2 – November 8
Belarus’ strongman rotates senior security officials and postpones the All-Belarusian People’s Assembly
October 26 – November 1
The authorities have postponed constitutional reforms and continue to reshuffle the public sector
October 19 – October 25
The authorities are propelling constitutional reforms and resume state subsidies to the public sector
October 12 – October 18
Loyalty to Lukashenka becomes indispensable to the public sector employees amid promised state investments
October 5 – October 11
Constitutional reform planned amid a crackdown on dissent while the economy backslides into depression
September 28 – October 4
Despite purges in the media sector and unceasing pressure on the business community in Belarus, the exodus of public sector employees continues
September 21 – September 27
The Belarusian authorities continue to bolster the edifice of power, including through propping up employment in the public sector
September 14 – September 20
Lukashenka scrambles to secure the loyalty of public officials whilst security forces step up pressure on protest groups
September 7 – September 13
Popular support for public institutions continues to reduce whilst Lukashenka retains control over the edifice of power
August 31 – September 6
The authorities promote constitutional reform amid purges in the edifice of power
August 24 – August 30
The Belarusian authorities focused on demotivating the strike movement, whilst loyalty of the edifice of power, security and government officials remained under threat
August 17 – August 23
Senior administration officials remain loyal to Lukashenka; however, unity is fraying, and cracks are appearing in the edifice of power
August 10 – August 16
The incumbent president has promised five years without economic reforms and reiterated a promise of a constitutional reform
August 3 – August 9
Enhanced electoral populism further deteriorates the state of public finances
July 27 – August 2
The National Bank somewhat loses its positions as the president makes attempts to revive the economy
July 20 – July 26
The Belarusian authorities reiterate the referendum issue; the state aims to task private banks with aiding the public sector
July 13 – July 19
The state has promised enhanced support for the public sector and simultaneously increased pressure on the private sector and the media
July 6 – July 12
Authorities mount repressions leading to further backsliding in terms of human rights and political freedoms
June 29 – July 5
The Belarusian authorities turn a blind eye to the people’s needs and start pumping money into the economy
June 22 – June 28
The president went off on banks and entrepreneurs; authorities encourage optimism in the public sector
June 15 – June 21
New Belarusian government will focus on supporting the public sector; law enforcers target private business
June 8 – June 14