All trends
Tsikhanouskaya consolidates diplomatic contacts, but the opposition seems to overlook the upcoming elections
Tsikhanouskaya’s cabinet increases international pressure on the regime, and democratic forces rally around the idea of European integration
Dems forces are consolidating political migration, fatigue is growing among supporters of the force scenario
Sanction pressure weakened the regime, society’s fatigue from confrontation with the regime
Democrats call for a boycott of the 2024 elections as the United Provisional Cabinet continues to isolate pro-government organisations
The Coordinating Council increases its influence on the selection of United Transitional Cabinet personnel; tension in civil society is rising
Forced regime change scenarios gain momentum as crowdfunding for political prisoners breaks records
Democrats enlist the support of the European Parliament; Tsikhanouskaya’s coalition consolidates the diaspora
Democratic forces in exile strengthen contacts with NATO countries, but the domestic protest movement is demotivated by repression
Tsikhanouskaya strengthents cooperation with NATO as domestic support for democratic activists’ declines
Civil Society Organisations are formalising relations with the EU as the democratic forces attempt to expand their audience
Prigozhin’s Mutiny: Impact and Responses of Belarusian Democratic Forces
Democratic forces concentrate on the anti-nuclear campaign, while Latushka rallies supporters of decisive regime change
Internal recriminations damage the reputation of ByPOL as democratic organisations organise exiled activists
Belarusian Democratic Movement Seeks Allies Abroad as Repression Persists
Democratic Forces Persist in Sanctions and Delegitimization of Lukashenka Regime, Strengthen Presence in Interstate Institutions
Democratic Forces Amplify International Pressure on Belarus Regime: Solidarity Campaign, Tribunals, and Cooperation with European Allies
Democrats focus on transfer of power as pressure on political prisoners grows
Tsikhanouskaya visits Dublin as pressure builds for an international tribunal regarding Lukashenka
Civil society mobilises to support political prisoners as internal tensions rise within the democratic movement
Democrats successfully negotiate with the Lithuanian authorities as the Cabinet mobilises the diaspora to press for sanctions
Democratic forces consolidate political exiles; Tsikhanouskaya’s office fights Lithuanian restrictions on Belarusians
Democratic forces gather evidence of regime crimes as political parties prepare for re-registration
Democratic forces achieve success in the USA, Poland, and Lithuania, but the influence of civil society within Belarus continues to wane
Strategic dialogue with the USA boosts democratic forces as political exiles organise actions on Freedom Day
Democratic forces strengthen their influence in Washington and create the infrastructure of a digital state
Democratic forces are consolidating strident regime critics, and the support for forceful change grows
Democrats focus on internal disputes as the power bloc of the Tsikhanouskaya Cabinet strengthens its position
Democratic forces increase international pressure on the regime as Tsikhanouskaya initiates action supporting Ukraine
Democrats isolate the regime in international relations; the Coordination Council is trying to increase its influence in the democratic movement
Restructuring Democratic Forces: Pazniak’s Security Council vs Tsikhanouskaya’s Cabinet
Pazniak strengthens his influence on the democratic agenda as Tsikhanouskaya strengthens cooperation with the Council of Europe
Unification around a common opposition agenda and demotivation of the Cabinet power bloc
The regime ramps up repression ahead of a spring offensive against Ukraine
Democrats maintain pressure for sanctions against the regime as the Provisional Cabinet creates military formations in Ukraine
2022: Political organisations and civil society: Anti-War Mobilization, Diplomatic Successes, and Declining Protests
Civil Society focuses on repression as the audience for democratic forces contracts
Society and political parties
Tsikhanouskaya consolidates diplomatic contacts, but the opposition seems to overlook the upcoming elections 
September 18 – September 24
Tsikhanouskaya’s cabinet increases international pressure on the regime, and democratic forces rally around the idea of European integration 
September 11 – September 17
Dems forces are consolidating political migration, fatigue is growing among supporters of the force scenario
September 4 – September 10
Sanction pressure weakened the regime, society’s fatigue from confrontation with the regime
August 14 – August 20
Democrats call for a boycott of the 2024 elections as the United Provisional Cabinet continues to isolate pro-government organisations
August 7 – August 13
The Coordinating Council increases its influence on the selection of United Transitional Cabinet personnel; tension in civil society is rising
July 31 – August 6
Forced regime change scenarios gain momentum as crowdfunding for political prisoners breaks records
July 24 – July 30
Democrats enlist the support of the European Parliament; Tsikhanouskaya’s coalition consolidates the diaspora
July 17 – July 23
Democratic forces in exile strengthen contacts with NATO countries, but the domestic protest movement is demotivated by repression
July 10 – July 16
Tsikhanouskaya strengthents cooperation with NATO as domestic support for democratic activists’ declines
July 3 – July 9
Civil Society Organisations are formalising relations with the EU as the democratic forces attempt to expand their audience
June 26 – July 2
Prigozhin’s Mutiny: Impact and Responses of Belarusian Democratic Forces
June 19 – June 25
Democratic forces concentrate on the anti-nuclear campaign, while Latushka rallies supporters of decisive regime change
June 12 – June 18
Internal recriminations damage the reputation of ByPOL as democratic organisations organise exiled activists
June 5 – June 11
Belarusian Democratic Movement Seeks Allies Abroad as Repression Persists
May 29 – June 4
Democratic Forces Persist in Sanctions and Delegitimization of Lukashenka Regime, Strengthen Presence in Interstate Institutions
May 22 – May 28
Democratic Forces Amplify International Pressure on Belarus Regime: Solidarity Campaign, Tribunals, and Cooperation with European Allies
May 15 – May 21
Democrats focus on transfer of power as pressure on political prisoners grows
May 8 – May 14
Tsikhanouskaya visits Dublin as pressure builds for an international tribunal regarding Lukashenka
May 1 – May 7
Civil society mobilises to support political prisoners as internal tensions rise within the democratic movement 
April 24 – April 30
Democrats successfully negotiate with the Lithuanian authorities as the Cabinet mobilises the diaspora to press for sanctions
April 17 – April 23
Democratic forces consolidate political exiles; Tsikhanouskaya’s office fights Lithuanian restrictions on Belarusians
April 10 – April 16
Democratic forces gather evidence of regime crimes as political parties prepare for re-registration
April 3 – April 9
Democratic forces achieve success in the USA, Poland, and Lithuania, but the influence of civil society within Belarus continues to wane
March 27 – April 2
Strategic dialogue with the USA boosts democratic forces as political exiles organise actions on Freedom Day
March 20 – March 26
Democratic forces strengthen their influence in Washington and create the infrastructure of a digital state
March 13 – March 19
Democratic forces are consolidating strident regime critics, and the support for forceful change grows
March 6 – March 12
Democrats focus on internal disputes as the power bloc of the Tsikhanouskaya Cabinet strengthens its position
February 27 – March 5
Democratic forces increase international pressure on the regime as Tsikhanouskaya initiates action supporting Ukraine
February 20 – February 26
Democrats isolate the regime in international relations; the Coordination Council is trying to increase its influence in the democratic movement
February 13 – February 19
Restructuring Democratic Forces: Pazniak’s Security Council vs Tsikhanouskaya’s Cabinet
February 6 – February 12
Pazniak strengthens his influence on the democratic agenda as Tsikhanouskaya strengthens cooperation with the Council of Europe
January 30 – February 5
Unification around a common opposition agenda and demotivation of the Cabinet power bloc
January 23 – January 29
The regime ramps up repression ahead of a spring offensive against Ukraine
January 16 – January 22
Democrats maintain pressure for sanctions against the regime as the Provisional Cabinet creates military formations in Ukraine
January 9 – January 15
2022: Political organisations and civil society: Anti-War Mobilization, Diplomatic Successes, and Declining Protests
December 26 – January 1
Civil Society focuses on repression as the audience for democratic forces contracts
December 12 – December 18