All trends
Disregarding the regime’s elections: Coalition building between Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya and Kastuś Kalinouski Regiment
The European Future of Belarus, Supporting Belarusians in Exile, Holding the Regime Accountable
Democratic forces are mainly focused on updating the situation in the Coordination Council, and the regime’s electoral campaign isn’t on their radar
Democratic forces are rallying the Belarusian diaspora, while political organizations appear to be sidelining the domestic Belarusian agenda
Online services for vulnerable groups and political prisoners, narrowing the agenda of the democratic forces
Diplomatic successes of Tsikhanouskaya in the post-Soviet region and the measures taken by the democratic movement to build trust
Democratic forces are working to limit the regime’s international contacts, and the National Anti-Crisis Management is leading international efforts to hold Lukashenka’s security forces accountable
Democratic forces intensify dialogue with the West, Lukashenka scares it with the nuclear weapons and counts on its fatigue
Tsikhanouskaya’s administration is solidifying the democratic movement, while volunteers are gaining more influence over the media landscape
Tsikhanouskaya consolidates diplomatic contacts, but the opposition seems to overlook the upcoming elections
Tsikhanouskaya’s cabinet increases international pressure on the regime, and democratic forces rally around the idea of European integration
Dems forces are consolidating political migration, fatigue is growing among supporters of the force scenario
Sanction pressure weakened the regime, society’s fatigue from confrontation with the regime
Democrats call for a boycott of the 2024 elections as the United Provisional Cabinet continues to isolate pro-government organisations
The Coordinating Council increases its influence on the selection of United Transitional Cabinet personnel; tension in civil society is rising
Forced regime change scenarios gain momentum as crowdfunding for political prisoners breaks records
Democrats enlist the support of the European Parliament; Tsikhanouskaya’s coalition consolidates the diaspora
Democratic forces in exile strengthen contacts with NATO countries, but the domestic protest movement is demotivated by repression
Tsikhanouskaya strengthents cooperation with NATO as domestic support for democratic activists’ declines
Civil Society Organisations are formalising relations with the EU as the democratic forces attempt to expand their audience
Prigozhin’s Mutiny: Impact and Responses of Belarusian Democratic Forces
Democratic forces concentrate on the anti-nuclear campaign, while Latushka rallies supporters of decisive regime change
Internal recriminations damage the reputation of ByPOL as democratic organisations organise exiled activists
Belarusian Democratic Movement Seeks Allies Abroad as Repression Persists
Democratic Forces Persist in Sanctions and Delegitimization of Lukashenka Regime, Strengthen Presence in Interstate Institutions
Democratic Forces Amplify International Pressure on Belarus Regime: Solidarity Campaign, Tribunals, and Cooperation with European Allies
Democrats focus on transfer of power as pressure on political prisoners grows
Tsikhanouskaya visits Dublin as pressure builds for an international tribunal regarding Lukashenka
Civil society mobilises to support political prisoners as internal tensions rise within the democratic movement
Democrats successfully negotiate with the Lithuanian authorities as the Cabinet mobilises the diaspora to press for sanctions
Democratic forces consolidate political exiles; Tsikhanouskaya’s office fights Lithuanian restrictions on Belarusians
Democratic forces gather evidence of regime crimes as political parties prepare for re-registration
Democratic forces achieve success in the USA, Poland, and Lithuania, but the influence of civil society within Belarus continues to wane
Strategic dialogue with the USA boosts democratic forces as political exiles organise actions on Freedom Day
Democratic forces strengthen their influence in Washington and create the infrastructure of a digital state
Democratic forces are consolidating strident regime critics, and the support for forceful change grows
Democrats focus on internal disputes as the power bloc of the Tsikhanouskaya Cabinet strengthens its position
Society and political parties
Disregarding the regime’s elections: Coalition building between Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya and Kastuś Kalinouski Regiment
November 20 – November 26
The European Future of Belarus, Supporting Belarusians in Exile, Holding the Regime Accountable
November 13 – November 19
Democratic forces are mainly focused on updating the situation in the Coordination Council, and the regime’s electoral campaign isn’t on their radar
November 6 – November 12
Democratic forces are rallying the Belarusian diaspora, while political organizations appear to be sidelining the domestic Belarusian agenda
October 30 – November 5
Online services for vulnerable groups and political prisoners, narrowing the agenda of the democratic forces
October 23 – October 29
Diplomatic successes of Tsikhanouskaya in the post-Soviet region and the measures taken by the democratic movement to build trust
October 16 – October 22
Democratic forces are working to limit the regime’s international contacts, and the National Anti-Crisis Management is leading international efforts to hold Lukashenka’s security forces accountable
October 9 – October 15
Democratic forces intensify dialogue with the West, Lukashenka scares it with the nuclear weapons and counts on its fatigue
October 2 – October 8
Tsikhanouskaya’s administration is solidifying the democratic movement, while volunteers are gaining more influence over the media landscape
September 25 – October 1
Tsikhanouskaya consolidates diplomatic contacts, but the opposition seems to overlook the upcoming elections
September 18 – September 24
Tsikhanouskaya’s cabinet increases international pressure on the regime, and democratic forces rally around the idea of European integration
September 11 – September 17
Dems forces are consolidating political migration, fatigue is growing among supporters of the force scenario
September 4 – September 10
Sanction pressure weakened the regime, society’s fatigue from confrontation with the regime
August 14 – August 20
Democrats call for a boycott of the 2024 elections as the United Provisional Cabinet continues to isolate pro-government organisations
August 7 – August 13
The Coordinating Council increases its influence on the selection of United Transitional Cabinet personnel; tension in civil society is rising
July 31 – August 6
Forced regime change scenarios gain momentum as crowdfunding for political prisoners breaks records
July 24 – July 30
Democrats enlist the support of the European Parliament; Tsikhanouskaya’s coalition consolidates the diaspora
July 17 – July 23
Democratic forces in exile strengthen contacts with NATO countries, but the domestic protest movement is demotivated by repression
July 10 – July 16
Tsikhanouskaya strengthents cooperation with NATO as domestic support for democratic activists’ declines
July 3 – July 9
Civil Society Organisations are formalising relations with the EU as the democratic forces attempt to expand their audience
June 26 – July 2
Prigozhin’s Mutiny: Impact and Responses of Belarusian Democratic Forces
June 19 – June 25
Democratic forces concentrate on the anti-nuclear campaign, while Latushka rallies supporters of decisive regime change
June 12 – June 18
Internal recriminations damage the reputation of ByPOL as democratic organisations organise exiled activists
June 5 – June 11
Belarusian Democratic Movement Seeks Allies Abroad as Repression Persists
May 29 – June 4
Democratic Forces Persist in Sanctions and Delegitimization of Lukashenka Regime, Strengthen Presence in Interstate Institutions
May 22 – May 28
Democratic Forces Amplify International Pressure on Belarus Regime: Solidarity Campaign, Tribunals, and Cooperation with European Allies
May 15 – May 21
Democrats focus on transfer of power as pressure on political prisoners grows
May 8 – May 14
Tsikhanouskaya visits Dublin as pressure builds for an international tribunal regarding Lukashenka
May 1 – May 7
Civil society mobilises to support political prisoners as internal tensions rise within the democratic movement
April 24 – April 30
Democrats successfully negotiate with the Lithuanian authorities as the Cabinet mobilises the diaspora to press for sanctions
April 17 – April 23
Democratic forces consolidate political exiles; Tsikhanouskaya’s office fights Lithuanian restrictions on Belarusians
April 10 – April 16
Democratic forces gather evidence of regime crimes as political parties prepare for re-registration
April 3 – April 9
Democratic forces achieve success in the USA, Poland, and Lithuania, but the influence of civil society within Belarus continues to wane
March 27 – April 2
Strategic dialogue with the USA boosts democratic forces as political exiles organise actions on Freedom Day
March 20 – March 26
Democratic forces strengthen their influence in Washington and create the infrastructure of a digital state
March 13 – March 19
Democratic forces are consolidating strident regime critics, and the support for forceful change grows
March 6 – March 12
Democrats focus on internal disputes as the power bloc of the Tsikhanouskaya Cabinet strengthens its position
February 27 – March 5