All trends
Democrats strengthen their position internationally; tensions in civil society continue to rise
An ultimatum strategy prevails for civil society and democratic forces
Democratic organisations strengthen relations with post-Soviet EU countries; civil society focuses on the anti-war agenda
Civil society seeks simplification of residency procedures for Belarusians in Europe. Democratic forces form an anti-war agenda
Democrats continue to delegitimise the Lukashenka regime on the international stage as the anti-war movement steers the agenda
Consolidation of exiles, the anti-war movement in Belarus and diasporas on Freedom Day
Democrats attempt to dissociate Belarus from the ruling regime; radical strategies prevail
Civil society rallies around the anti-war agenda as the influence of independent media expands
The rhetoric of Democratic Forces is getting harsher as the audience for independent media increases
Anti-war mobilisation leads to rapprochement of the positions of democratic organisations
Civil society and democratic forces concentrate on the international agenda; political parties develop online communication channels
Civil society develops online services, democratic forces promote the sanctions agenda
With conflicting approaches to the referendum, the politicisation of supporters of change subsides
Democratic forces agree to participate in the constitutional referendum
Pressure on Yara delivers results; diasporas support a unified position on the referendum
The Diaspora achieves success in sanctions pressure, democratic forces promote a unified approach to the referendum
Diaspora successes in international politics, polarization in society is increasing
The protest movement is subsiding as the anti-sanction discussion is intensifying
Democratic forces aim to establish contact with members of election commissions as Tsikhanouskaya attempts a dialogue with the authorities
A unified action plan for a referendum by democratic forces in exile unlikely to be supported by parties and initiatives inside Belarus
Democratic forces formulate a common position on the referendum as Civil Society develops online services
Civil organisations launch online services to replace liquidated NGOs, as democratic forces support the topic of new elections on the agenda
Organizations ramp up activities with their supporters
The unified agenda of democratic organizations is blurring, tension is growing in political emigration
Civil Society presents a unified COVID-19 agenda. Political organizations cooperate to encourage political engagement
Political exiles promote sanctions, political organizations try to motivate activists
The audience of independent media diminishes. Critics of sanctions gain ground in Civil Society
The unified agenda of Civil Society is unravelling as the prospects for dialogue decrease
Civil Society’s influence on the national agenda declines as Tsikhanouskaya’s office attempts to rally the diaspora
Tsikhanouskaya focuses the attention of Paris and Berlin on Belarus
Criticism intensifies among political exiles as NGOs trial new activities
Political engagement of the electorate weakens as harsh critics of the regime strengthen their positions
Diaspora fail to block IMF funding as political organisations move underground
Political emigration tries to block access to IMF funds, public activity slows down due to repression
The Belarusian diaspora refresh their agenda on the anniversary of the elections as political organisations trial options for activity in the repressive environment
Tsikhanouskaya’s diplomatic successes against the backdrop of Lukashenka’s scandals and the attempts of the Skhod to establish a dialogue with the state apparatus
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya makes a breakthrough in relations with the United States as civil society develops online services in response to repression
Society and political parties
Democrats strengthen their position internationally; tensions in civil society continue to rise 
April 25 – May 1
An ultimatum strategy prevails for civil society and democratic forces 
April 18 – April 24
Democratic organisations strengthen relations with post-Soviet EU countries; civil society focuses on the anti-war agenda
April 11 – April 17
Civil society seeks simplification of residency procedures for Belarusians in Europe. Democratic forces form an anti-war agenda
April 4 – April 10
Democrats continue to delegitimise the Lukashenka regime on the international stage as the anti-war movement steers the agenda
March 28 – April 3
Consolidation of exiles, the anti-war movement in Belarus and diasporas on Freedom Day
March 21 – March 27
Democrats attempt to dissociate Belarus from the ruling regime; radical strategies prevail
March 14 – March 20
Civil society rallies around the anti-war agenda as the influence of independent media expands
March 7 – March 13
The rhetoric of Democratic Forces is getting harsher as the audience for independent media increases
February 28 – March 6
Anti-war mobilisation leads to rapprochement of the positions of democratic organisations
February 21 – February 27
Civil society and democratic forces concentrate on the international agenda; political parties develop online communication channels
February 14 – February 20
Civil society develops online services, democratic forces promote the sanctions agenda
February 7 – February 13
With conflicting approaches to the referendum, the politicisation of supporters of change subsides
January 31 – February 6
Democratic forces agree to participate in the constitutional referendum
January 17 – January 23
Pressure on Yara delivers results; diasporas support a unified position on the referendum
January 10 – January 16
The Diaspora achieves success in sanctions pressure, democratic forces promote a unified approach to the referendum
December 20 – December 26
Diaspora successes in international politics, polarization in society is increasing
December 13 – December 19
The protest movement is subsiding as the anti-sanction discussion is intensifying 
December 6 – December 12
Democratic forces aim to establish contact with members of election commissions as Tsikhanouskaya attempts a dialogue with the authorities
November 29 – December 5
A unified action plan for a referendum by democratic forces in exile unlikely to be supported by parties and initiatives inside Belarus
November 22 – November 28
Democratic forces formulate a common position on the referendum as Civil Society develops online services
November 15 – November 21
Civil organisations launch online services to replace liquidated NGOs, as democratic forces support the topic of new elections on the agenda
November 8 – November 14
Organizations ramp up activities with their supporters
November 1 – November 7
The unified agenda of democratic organizations is blurring, tension is growing in political emigration
October 25 – October 31
Civil Society presents a unified COVID-19 agenda. Political organizations cooperate to encourage political engagement
October 18 – October 24
Political exiles promote sanctions, political organizations try to motivate activists
October 11 – October 17
The audience of independent media diminishes. Critics of sanctions gain ground in Civil Society
October 4 – October 10
The unified agenda of Civil Society is unravelling as the prospects for dialogue decrease
September 27 – October 3
Civil Society’s influence on the national agenda declines as Tsikhanouskaya’s office attempts to rally the diaspora
September 20 – September 26
Tsikhanouskaya focuses the attention of Paris and Berlin on Belarus
September 13 – September 19
Criticism intensifies among political exiles as NGOs trial new activities
September 6 – September 12
Political engagement of the electorate weakens as harsh critics of the regime strengthen their positions
August 30 – September 5
Diaspora fail to block IMF funding as political organisations move underground
August 23 – August 29
Political emigration tries to block access to IMF funds, public activity slows down due to repression
August 16 – August 22
The Belarusian diaspora refresh their agenda on the anniversary of the elections as political organisations trial options for activity in the repressive environment
August 9 – August 15
Tsikhanouskaya’s diplomatic successes against the backdrop of Lukashenka’s scandals and the attempts of the Skhod to establish a dialogue with the state apparatus
August 2 – August 8
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya makes a breakthrough in relations with the United States as civil society develops online services in response to repression
July 26 – August 1