All trends

Society and political parties

Leadership disputes within democratic forces continue to grow as the influence of political organisations on the domestic agenda declines

August 1 – August 7

Criticism of Tsikhanouskaya’s office continues; activists are demotivated due to prolonged confrontation

July 25 – July 31

Leadership struggles amongst democratic forces as the emphasis on forceful regime change increases

July 18 – July 24

Radicalization of the positions of supporters of change spurs reformatting in democratic forces

July 11 – July 17

Democrats revise their strategy as the mood of civil society polarises in response to repression

July 4 – July 10

International influence wavers, and the protest movement polarises

June 27 – July 3

Civil society develops infrastructure to help emigrants; democratic forces focus on the European choice

June 20 – June 26

Democratic forces gradually consolidate a pro-EU position; civil society focuses on counter-propaganda and advocating for political prisoners

June 13 – June 19

Civil society consolidates the pro-European audience as activists block state propaganda on the Internet

June 6 – June 12

Democrats maintain regime isolation. Centre-rightists renew cooperation with EU political bloc

May 30 – June 5

Tensions are growing in democratic forces; initiatives are testing the scope of activities in Belarus

May 23 – May 29

Democrats intensify sanctions rhetoric as Tsepkala unites critics of Tsikhanouskaya

May 16 – May 22

Democratic forces shape the international agenda as partisan protests against the regime continue

May 9 – May 15

Independent media and state propaganda reach audience parity. Ultimatum positions remain popular

May 2 – May 8

Democrats strengthen their position internationally; tensions in civil society continue to rise

April 25 – May 1

An ultimatum strategy prevails for civil society and democratic forces

April 18 – April 24

Democratic organisations strengthen relations with post-Soviet EU countries; civil society focuses on the anti-war agenda

April 11 – April 17

Civil society seeks simplification of residency procedures for Belarusians in Europe. Democratic forces form an anti-war agenda

April 4 – April 10

Democrats continue to delegitimise the Lukashenka regime on the international stage as the anti-war movement steers the agenda

March 28 – April 3

Consolidation of exiles, the anti-war movement in Belarus and diasporas on Freedom Day

March 21 – March 27

Democrats attempt to dissociate Belarus from the ruling regime; radical strategies prevail

March 14 – March 20

Civil society rallies around the anti-war agenda as the influence of independent media expands

March 7 – March 13

The rhetoric of Democratic Forces is getting harsher as the audience for independent media increases

February 28 – March 6

Anti-war mobilisation leads to rapprochement of the positions of democratic organisations

February 21 – February 27

Civil society and democratic forces concentrate on the international agenda; political parties develop online communication channels

February 14 – February 20

Civil society develops online services, democratic forces promote the sanctions agenda

February 7 – February 13

With conflicting approaches to the referendum, the politicisation of supporters of change subsides

January 31 – February 6

Democratic forces agree to participate in the constitutional referendum

January 17 – January 23

Pressure on Yara delivers results; diasporas support a unified position on the referendum

January 10 – January 16

The Diaspora achieves success in sanctions pressure, democratic forces promote a unified approach to the referendum

December 20 – December 26

Diaspora successes in international politics, polarization in society is increasing

December 13 – December 19

The protest movement is subsiding as the anti-sanction discussion is intensifying

December 6 – December 12

Democratic forces aim to establish contact with members of election commissions as Tsikhanouskaya attempts a dialogue with the authorities

November 29 – December 5

A unified action plan for a referendum by democratic forces in exile unlikely to be supported by parties and initiatives inside Belarus

November 22 – November 28

Democratic forces formulate a common position on the referendum as Civil Society develops online services

November 15 – November 21

Civil organisations launch online services to replace liquidated NGOs, as democratic forces support the topic of new elections on the agenda

November 8 – November 14

Organizations ramp up activities with their supporters

November 1 – November 7