All trends
Democratic Forces Amplify International Pressure on Belarus Regime: Solidarity Campaign, Tribunals, and Cooperation with European Allies
Democrats focus on transfer of power as pressure on political prisoners grows
Tsikhanouskaya visits Dublin as pressure builds for an international tribunal regarding Lukashenka
Civil society mobilises to support political prisoners as internal tensions rise within the democratic movement
Democrats successfully negotiate with the Lithuanian authorities as the Cabinet mobilises the diaspora to press for sanctions
Democratic forces consolidate political exiles; Tsikhanouskaya’s office fights Lithuanian restrictions on Belarusians
Democratic forces gather evidence of regime crimes as political parties prepare for re-registration
Democratic forces achieve success in the USA, Poland, and Lithuania, but the influence of civil society within Belarus continues to wane
Strategic dialogue with the USA boosts democratic forces as political exiles organise actions on Freedom Day
Democratic forces strengthen their influence in Washington and create the infrastructure of a digital state
Democratic forces are consolidating strident regime critics, and the support for forceful change grows
Democrats focus on internal disputes as the power bloc of the Tsikhanouskaya Cabinet strengthens its position
Democratic forces increase international pressure on the regime as Tsikhanouskaya initiates action supporting Ukraine
Democrats isolate the regime in international relations; the Coordination Council is trying to increase its influence in the democratic movement
Restructuring Democratic Forces: Pazniak’s Security Council vs Tsikhanouskaya’s Cabinet
Pazniak strengthens his influence on the democratic agenda as Tsikhanouskaya strengthens cooperation with the Council of Europe
Unification around a common opposition agenda and demotivation of the Cabinet power bloc
The regime ramps up repression ahead of a spring offensive against Ukraine
Democrats maintain pressure for sanctions against the regime as the Provisional Cabinet creates military formations in Ukraine
2022: Political organisations and civil society: Anti-War Mobilization, Diplomatic Successes, and Declining Protests
Civil Society focuses on repression as the audience for democratic forces contracts
Democratic forces continue to isolate the regime, but criticism of Tsikhanouskaya’s Cabinet is intensifying
Democratic forces are increasing international pressure on the regime as a new digital platform enters testing
Tsikhanouskaya promotes her agenda in Canada as the Cabinet works on its media image
Criticism of Tsikhanouskaya’s cabinet is intensifying, and democratic forces’ influence at the international level is decreasing
Democratic forces react to media scandals as civil society focuses on strengthening its international position
Tsikhanouskaya’s cabinet suffers reputational damage as democratic forces strengthen ties with Kyiv
Civil society promotes de-Sovietization, as democratic forces retain support for change supporters
Civil society promotes sanctions; volunteer fighters become politically active
Democratic forces strengthen their international position, the Joint Transitional Cabinet consolidates supporters of the power scenario
Civil society increases international pressure on the regime as Tsikhanouskaya’s cabinet holds meetings with the leaders of France and Poland
Democratic forces pursue an anti-mobilization agenda as the Cabinet consolidates political exiles around an ultimatum position
Supporters of violent regime change consolidate support as Tsikhanouskaya promotes the civil society agenda at the UN
Democrats promote isolation of the regime; civil society groups develop network services
Democratic forces strengthen their positions at the international level, making independence a priority
The Joint Cabinet revises the agenda of democratic forces, reducing support for pro-Ukrainian initiatives
Civil society organisations lose influence in Europe, though positive expectations from the Joint Transition Cabinet remain
Society and political parties
Democratic Forces Amplify International Pressure on Belarus Regime: Solidarity Campaign, Tribunals, and Cooperation with European Allies 
May 15 – May 21
Democrats focus on transfer of power as pressure on political prisoners grows 
May 8 – May 14
Tsikhanouskaya visits Dublin as pressure builds for an international tribunal regarding Lukashenka
May 1 – May 7
Civil society mobilises to support political prisoners as internal tensions rise within the democratic movement 
April 24 – April 30
Democrats successfully negotiate with the Lithuanian authorities as the Cabinet mobilises the diaspora to press for sanctions
April 17 – April 23
Democratic forces consolidate political exiles; Tsikhanouskaya’s office fights Lithuanian restrictions on Belarusians
April 10 – April 16
Democratic forces gather evidence of regime crimes as political parties prepare for re-registration
April 3 – April 9
Democratic forces achieve success in the USA, Poland, and Lithuania, but the influence of civil society within Belarus continues to wane
March 27 – April 2
Strategic dialogue with the USA boosts democratic forces as political exiles organise actions on Freedom Day
March 20 – March 26
Democratic forces strengthen their influence in Washington and create the infrastructure of a digital state
March 13 – March 19
Democratic forces are consolidating strident regime critics, and the support for forceful change grows
March 6 – March 12
Democrats focus on internal disputes as the power bloc of the Tsikhanouskaya Cabinet strengthens its position
February 27 – March 5
Democratic forces increase international pressure on the regime as Tsikhanouskaya initiates action supporting Ukraine
February 20 – February 26
Democrats isolate the regime in international relations; the Coordination Council is trying to increase its influence in the democratic movement
February 13 – February 19
Restructuring Democratic Forces: Pazniak’s Security Council vs Tsikhanouskaya’s Cabinet
February 6 – February 12
Pazniak strengthens his influence on the democratic agenda as Tsikhanouskaya strengthens cooperation with the Council of Europe
January 30 – February 5
Unification around a common opposition agenda and demotivation of the Cabinet power bloc
January 23 – January 29
The regime ramps up repression ahead of a spring offensive against Ukraine
January 16 – January 22
Democrats maintain pressure for sanctions against the regime as the Provisional Cabinet creates military formations in Ukraine
January 9 – January 15
2022: Political organisations and civil society: Anti-War Mobilization, Diplomatic Successes, and Declining Protests
December 26 – January 1
Civil Society focuses on repression as the audience for democratic forces contracts
December 12 – December 18
Democratic forces continue to isolate the regime, but criticism of Tsikhanouskaya’s Cabinet is intensifying
December 5 – December 11
Democratic forces are increasing international pressure on the regime as a new digital platform enters testing
November 28 – December 4
Tsikhanouskaya promotes her agenda in Canada as the Cabinet works on its media image
November 21 – November 27
Criticism of Tsikhanouskaya’s cabinet is intensifying, and democratic forces’ influence at the international level is decreasing
November 14 – November 20
Democratic forces react to media scandals as civil society focuses on strengthening its international position
November 7 – November 13
Tsikhanouskaya’s cabinet suffers reputational damage as democratic forces strengthen ties with Kyiv
October 31 – November 6
Civil society promotes de-Sovietization, as democratic forces retain support for change supporters
October 24 – October 30
Civil society promotes sanctions; volunteer fighters become politically active
October 17 – October 23
Democratic forces strengthen their international position, the Joint Transitional Cabinet consolidates supporters of the power scenario
October 10 – October 16
Civil society increases international pressure on the regime as Tsikhanouskaya’s cabinet holds meetings with the leaders of France and Poland
October 3 – October 9
Democratic forces pursue an anti-mobilization agenda as the Cabinet consolidates political exiles around an ultimatum position
September 26 – October 2
Supporters of violent regime change consolidate support as Tsikhanouskaya promotes the civil society agenda at the UN
September 19 – September 25
Democrats promote isolation of the regime; civil society groups develop network services
September 12 – September 18
Democratic forces strengthen their positions at the international level, making independence a priority
September 5 – September 11
The Joint Cabinet revises the agenda of democratic forces, reducing support for pro-Ukrainian initiatives
August 29 – September 4
Civil society organisations lose influence in Europe, though positive expectations from the Joint Transition Cabinet remain
August 22 – August 28