All trends

The ruling elite

The Regime attempts to destroy independent media but is not ready to put its right to power to the test

May 17 – May 23

The regime continues to discuss constitutional reform while rewarding the loyalty of favoured business interests

May 10 – May 16

Lukashenka consolidates regime loyalty and reins in the development of political parties

May 3 – May 9

The referendum, local elections and the dependency of the public sector

April 26 – May 2

The authorities continue to develop their repressive agenda as the outlook of government and private business continues to diverge

April 19 – April 25

Security forces aim for complete demotivation of protests

April 12 – April 18

Lukashenka resists the development of political parties, while legislators delegate the choice of victims and the nature of repressive measures to law enforcement officers’ discretion

April 5 – April 11

The legalisation of political repression, criminal cases against political exiles and ex-siloviki

March 29 – April 4

Riot gear and repression on the streets of the capital while the authorities incite controversy over protest symbols

March 22 – March 28

With the weakening of state institutions and public sector cuts, the apparatus of the state is preoccupied with the campaign against dissent

March 15 – March 21

The regime is preparing for economic difficulties and requires the army to “fight from within”

March 8 – March 14

Discussion about the transfer of power and political parties resumes, but repressions do not abate

March 1 – March 7

Large-scale indiscriminate repression as public sector employment expands thanks to budgetary injections

February 22 – February 28

Purges, repression, carte blanche for the security forces, and a changing social contract

February 15 – February 21

Lukashenka announces the outlines of constitutional reform proposals as the authorities attack the private sector

February 8 – February 14

Security forces intensify their anti-corruption campaign and constitutional reform comes to nothing

February 1 – February 7

Authorities ramp up threats to society and the nomenklatura in the run-up to All Belarusian People’s Assembly

January 25 – January 31

The quality of state administration and public services deteriorates as the authorities continue to withdraw funds from the population

January 18 – January 24

Lukashenka is hoping for a forceful resolution of the political crisis

January 11 – January 17

Lukashenka is hoping to cement the vertical power structure at the All-Belarusian Assembly; security forces carry out purges in residential areas in large cities targeting protesters

January 4 – January 10

2020: The state lost touch with society and resumed financial intervention in the public sector

January 4 – January 10

The Belarusian authorities aim to increase taxation as Lukashenka takes transfer of power off the table

December 14 – December 20

The authorities restrict assistance to the private sector and tighten foreign travel rules for Belarusians

December 7 – December 13

While Covid-19 brings the Belarusian healthcare system to the verge of collapse, the authorities increase repression against clerics to restrain religious organisations

November 30 – December 6

Loyalty to Lukashenka continues to erode as he doubles down on the use of force to curtail protests

November 23 – November 29

The authorities stake their future on the security forces, not on dialogue

November 16 – November 22

The authorities pin their hopes on constitutional reforms as public confidence in public institutions continues to crumble due to the actions of security forces

November 9 – November 15

The authorities continue to try to redefine the news agenda and augment repression with “political propaganda”

November 2 – November 8

Belarus’ strongman rotates senior security officials and postpones the All-Belarusian People’s Assembly

October 26 – November 1

The authorities have postponed constitutional reforms and continue to reshuffle the public sector

October 19 – October 25

The authorities are propelling constitutional reforms and resume state subsidies to the public sector

October 12 – October 18

Loyalty to Lukashenka becomes indispensable to the public sector employees amid promised state investments

October 5 – October 11

Constitutional reform planned amid a crackdown on dissent while the economy backslides into depression

September 28 – October 4

Despite purges in the media sector and unceasing pressure on the business community in Belarus, the exodus of public sector employees continues

September 21 – September 27

The Belarusian authorities continue to bolster the edifice of power, including through propping up employment in the public sector

September 14 – September 20

Lukashenka scrambles to secure the loyalty of public officials whilst security forces step up pressure on protest groups

September 7 – September 13

Popular support for public institutions continues to reduce whilst Lukashenka retains control over the edifice of power

August 31 – September 6