All trends

The ruling elite

Lukashenka defines the agenda for the referendum as purges of opponents and the media continue

November 15 – November 21

The regime continues to flout the law as suppression of civil society and media activities continues

November 8 – November 14

The regime refuses to buy the loyalty of the population; the inadvertence of constitutional innovations

November 1 – November 7

State expropriation of funds from business and the population continues; the price of dissent remains high

October 25 – October 31

The Union State: Towards Crisis A

October 18 – October 24

The security forces suppress media audiences as covid-19 disinformation fosters distrust

October 11 – October 17

The regime buys the loyalty of the state apparatus as the momentum for reform decreases

October 4 – October 10

Constitutional amendments provide guarantees for Lukashenka as the population and businesses are lined up to address budget shortfalls

September 27 – October 3

Taxing the population and business in anticipation of sanctions as spy mania returns

September 20 – September 26

Unity coerced by repression as the authorities repeat the COVID-19 mistakes of spring 2020

September 13 – September 19

Tensions between public administration and the security forces rise as the search for extra-budgetary finances intensifies

September 6 – September 12

Repression of the environmental sector and public sector protectionism

August 30 – September 5

Lukashenka politicises education as state-owned companies reduce their commitment to employment support

August 23 – August 29

A return to purchasing the loyalty of state employees and a deal with loyal businesses to address sanctions losses

August 16 – August 22

Lukashenka is turning back the clock to before 2020 as security forces dismantle infrastructure supporting vulnerable groups

August 9 – August 15

Lukashenka uses external threats to consolidate power; security forces repress 2020 demonstrators

August 2 – August 8

Purges in the third sector, including in the media, continue before the upcoming constitutional referendum; security forces aim to compel the private business to loyalty

July 26 – August 1

Repression continues, the state plans to increase seizures from the population and business

July 19 – July 25

The regime is dismantling the institutions of civil society as it prepares for a constitutional referendum

July 12 – July 18

Security forces smash independent media infrastructure as large-scale repression continues in Minsk and the regions

July 5 – July 11

The authorities continue with large-scale purges of Civil Society and prepare to replace the High Technology Park

June 28 – July 4

Lukashenka escalates his rhetoric as the security forces continue to seize businesses

June 21 – June 27

The authorities increase cultural censorship as conditions for small business deteriorate

June 14 – June 20

The government cuts funding for public servants and signals the possibility of lessening repression

June 7 – June 13

Security forces continue purges in preparation for a future constitutional referendum while the government continues to prop up the public sector

May 31 – June 6

The regime pursues collective governance plans as constant repression depletes resources

May 24 – May 30

The Regime attempts to destroy independent media but is not ready to put its right to power to the test

May 17 – May 23

The regime continues to discuss constitutional reform while rewarding the loyalty of favoured business interests

May 10 – May 16

Lukashenka consolidates regime loyalty and reins in the development of political parties

May 3 – May 9

The referendum, local elections and the dependency of the public sector

April 26 – May 2

The authorities continue to develop their repressive agenda as the outlook of government and private business continues to diverge

April 19 – April 25

Security forces aim for complete demotivation of protests

April 12 – April 18

Lukashenka resists the development of political parties, while legislators delegate the choice of victims and the nature of repressive measures to law enforcement officers’ discretion

April 5 – April 11

The legalisation of political repression, criminal cases against political exiles and ex-siloviki

March 29 – April 4

Riot gear and repression on the streets of the capital while the authorities incite controversy over protest symbols

March 22 – March 28

With the weakening of state institutions and public sector cuts, the apparatus of the state is preoccupied with the campaign against dissent

March 15 – March 21

The regime is preparing for economic difficulties and requires the army to “fight from within”

March 8 – March 14