All trends
Lukashenka weakens the position of Haloŭčanka’s government, as elections are guaranteed by the security forces
Lukashenka is increasing contributions to his personal “insurance fund,” and the government is continuing to allocate funds to the state sector
Elections under comfortable conditions: economic stability and depoliticized opponents
Limits on Rent for the Agricultural Power Hierarchy, Elections in a Repressed Society
Lukashenka is cutting back on social benefits in education, and the regime’s enforcers are cracking down on workers in the agricultural sector
The government is priming the economy with significant injections of funds ahead of the upcoming elections
Filtering raids by security forces in the public sector, high profitability of business in exchange for periodic expropriations
Regime pre-election measures include an increase in public sector salaries, restrictions on the private sector, and more repression of opponents
Regime enforcers plan non-stop repression as the ruling class prepares for elections
Lukashenka buttresses support in the western regions. The National Bank is concerned about overheating the economy
The state continues to monopolise medical services as the ruling class prepares for elections
Lukashenka criticises agricultural barons as state-sponsored discrimination against regime critics continues
The National Bank increases support for the public sector, as paid medical services expand
Lukashenka criticises Prime Minister Halouchanka as the government stimulates economic growth
The regime creates a new party system as social guarantees continue to erode
Inevitable Dismissal Looms for the Belarusian Government
Lukashenka criticises state administrators as the government invests in the military, security forces and state-owned businesses
The government invests in the public sector as the security forces shore up the state budget with fines
Lukashenka’s Political Maneuvers: Boosting Ratings Amidst Economic Uncertainty
Lukashenka’s Populist Tactics and Repression: Undermining Democracy Ahead of the 2024 Election Campaign
The Shifting Landscape: Lukashenka’s Position Weakens as the Ruling Class Adapts to Transformations
State influence over the media landscape increases; the public sector recovers from sanctions
Opaque state investment and repression of dissidents continue
The government increases support for the public sector; officials increase businesses’ social obligations
The ruling class rallies around Lukashenka as the government focuses on import substitution
The Cult of Lukashenka and Economic Stimulus
Fines shore up the state budget as the authorities target private pharmacies
Lukashenka aims to retain personal control as the authorities scale up repression and expropriations
Lukashenka is forced to agree a degree of power-sharing as the security forces shore up state funds
The Lukashenka regime intensifies repression as the leadership urges officials to economise
Security forces intensify repression as the regime resumes financial support for the state sector
The regime demotivates opponents with repression and continues to intervene in the economy
Regime-allied independentists are under pressure from proponents of a “Russian World”
The regime fights for survival as the economy is reoriented to support the security forces
Financial support for state-owned companies increases as Lukashenka deflects popular discontent onto businessmen
Pension rules tighten as persecution of the 2020 demonstrators continues
The regime is progressively more isolated from the people as property seizures from the “disloyal” increase
The ruling elite
Lukashenka weakens the position of Haloŭčanka’s government, as elections are guaranteed by the security forces 
October 16 – October 22
Lukashenka is increasing contributions to his personal “insurance fund,” and the government is continuing to allocate funds to the state sector 
October 9 – October 15
Elections under comfortable conditions: economic stability and depoliticized opponents
October 2 – October 8
Limits on Rent for the Agricultural Power Hierarchy, Elections in a Repressed Society
September 25 – October 1
Lukashenka is cutting back on social benefits in education, and the regime’s enforcers are cracking down on workers in the agricultural sector
September 18 – September 24
The government is priming the economy with significant injections of funds ahead of the upcoming elections
September 11 – September 17
Filtering raids by security forces in the public sector, high profitability of business in exchange for periodic expropriations
September 4 – September 10
Regime pre-election measures include an increase in public sector salaries, restrictions on the private sector, and more repression of opponents
August 14 – August 20
Regime enforcers plan non-stop repression as the ruling class prepares for elections
August 7 – August 13
Lukashenka buttresses support in the western regions. The National Bank is concerned about overheating the economy
July 31 – August 6
The state continues to monopolise medical services as the ruling class prepares for elections
July 24 – July 30
Lukashenka criticises agricultural barons as state-sponsored discrimination against regime critics continues
July 17 – July 23
The National Bank increases support for the public sector, as paid medical services expand
July 10 – July 16
Lukashenka criticises Prime Minister Halouchanka as the government stimulates economic growth
July 3 – July 9
The regime creates a new party system as social guarantees continue to erode
June 26 – July 2
Inevitable Dismissal Looms for the Belarusian Government
June 19 – June 25
Lukashenka criticises state administrators as the government invests in the military, security forces and state-owned businesses
June 12 – June 18
The government invests in the public sector as the security forces shore up the state budget with fines
June 5 – June 11
Lukashenka’s Political Maneuvers: Boosting Ratings Amidst Economic Uncertainty
May 29 – June 4
Lukashenka’s Populist Tactics and Repression: Undermining Democracy Ahead of the 2024 Election Campaign
May 22 – May 28
The Shifting Landscape: Lukashenka’s Position Weakens as the Ruling Class Adapts to Transformations 
May 15 – May 21
State influence over the media landscape increases; the public sector recovers from sanctions
May 8 – May 14
Opaque state investment and repression of dissidents continue
May 1 – May 7
The government increases support for the public sector; officials increase businesses’ social obligations
April 24 – April 30
The ruling class rallies around Lukashenka as the government focuses on import substitution
April 17 – April 23
The Cult of Lukashenka and Economic Stimulus
April 10 – April 16
Fines shore up the state budget as the authorities target private pharmacies
April 3 – April 9
Lukashenka aims to retain personal control as the authorities scale up repression and expropriations
March 27 – April 2
Lukashenka is forced to agree a degree of power-sharing as the security forces shore up state funds
March 20 – March 26
The Lukashenka regime intensifies repression as the leadership urges officials to economise
March 13 – March 19
Security forces intensify repression as the regime resumes financial support for the state sector
March 6 – March 12
The regime demotivates opponents with repression and continues to intervene in the economy
February 27 – March 5
Regime-allied independentists are under pressure from proponents of a “Russian World”
February 20 – February 26
The regime fights for survival as the economy is reoriented to support the security forces
February 13 – February 19
Financial support for state-owned companies increases as Lukashenka deflects popular discontent onto businessmen
February 6 – February 12
Pension rules tighten as persecution of the 2020 demonstrators continues
January 30 – February 5
The regime is progressively more isolated from the people as property seizures from the “disloyal” increase
January 23 – January 29