All trends

The ruling elite

Lukashenka weakens the position of Haloŭčanka’s government, as elections are guaranteed by the security forces

October 16 – October 22

Lukashenka is increasing contributions to his personal “insurance fund,” and the government is continuing to allocate funds to the state sector

October 9 – October 15

Elections under comfortable conditions: economic stability and depoliticized opponents

October 2 – October 8

Limits on Rent for the Agricultural Power Hierarchy, Elections in a Repressed Society

September 25 – October 1

Lukashenka is cutting back on social benefits in education, and the regime’s enforcers are cracking down on workers in the agricultural sector

September 18 – September 24

The government is priming the economy with significant injections of funds ahead of the upcoming elections

September 11 – September 17

Filtering raids by security forces in the public sector, high profitability of business in exchange for periodic expropriations

September 4 – September 10

Regime pre-election measures include an increase in public sector salaries, restrictions on the private sector, and more repression of opponents

August 14 – August 20

Regime enforcers plan non-stop repression as the ruling class prepares for elections

August 7 – August 13

Lukashenka buttresses support in the western regions. The National Bank is concerned about overheating the economy

July 31 – August 6

The state continues to monopolise medical services as the ruling class prepares for elections

July 24 – July 30

Lukashenka criticises agricultural barons as state-sponsored discrimination against regime critics continues

July 17 – July 23

The National Bank increases support for the public sector, as paid medical services expand

July 10 – July 16

Lukashenka criticises Prime Minister Halouchanka as the government stimulates economic growth

July 3 – July 9

The regime creates a new party system as social guarantees continue to erode

June 26 – July 2

Inevitable Dismissal Looms for the Belarusian Government

June 19 – June 25

Lukashenka criticises state administrators as the government invests in the military, security forces and state-owned businesses

June 12 – June 18

The government invests in the public sector as the security forces shore up the state budget with fines

June 5 – June 11

Lukashenka’s Political Maneuvers: Boosting Ratings Amidst Economic Uncertainty

May 29 – June 4

Lukashenka’s Populist Tactics and Repression: Undermining Democracy Ahead of the 2024 Election Campaign

May 22 – May 28

The Shifting Landscape: Lukashenka’s Position Weakens as the Ruling Class Adapts to Transformations

May 15 – May 21

State influence over the media landscape increases; the public sector recovers from sanctions

May 8 – May 14

Opaque state investment and repression of dissidents continue

May 1 – May 7

The government increases support for the public sector; officials increase businesses’ social obligations

April 24 – April 30

The ruling class rallies around Lukashenka as the government focuses on import substitution

April 17 – April 23

The Cult of Lukashenka and Economic Stimulus

April 10 – April 16

Fines shore up the state budget as the authorities target private pharmacies

April 3 – April 9

Lukashenka aims to retain personal control as the authorities scale up repression and expropriations

March 27 – April 2

Lukashenka is forced to agree a degree of power-sharing as the security forces shore up state funds

March 20 – March 26

The Lukashenka regime intensifies repression as the leadership urges officials to economise

March 13 – March 19

Security forces intensify repression as the regime resumes financial support for the state sector

March 6 – March 12

The regime demotivates opponents with repression and continues to intervene in the economy

February 27 – March 5

Regime-allied independentists are under pressure from proponents of a “Russian World”

February 20 – February 26

The regime fights for survival as the economy is reoriented to support the security forces

February 13 – February 19

Financial support for state-owned companies increases as Lukashenka deflects popular discontent onto businessmen

February 6 – February 12

Pension rules tighten as persecution of the 2020 demonstrators continues

January 30 – February 5

The regime is progressively more isolated from the people as property seizures from the “disloyal” increase

January 23 – January 29