All trends
The West deepens the isolation of Belarus and turns it into an arena of geopolitical rivalry with Russia
Ukrainian grain transit through Belarus faces opposition from the West
The EU introduces the sixth package of sanctions against Belarus amid discussion of a transit scheme for Ukrainian grain
The Belarusian regime is trying to justify participation in aggression and soften Western sanctions
Belarusian potash in exchange for easing Western sanctions?
As the West tightens sanctions, the Belarusian regime distances itself from the war
The Belarusian regime hopes to mediate between Russia and the West while demanding security guarantees in the face of new sanctions
The Belarusian regime is rapidly losing relevance in the eyes of the West
The West has not rejected dialogue with Belarus in principle, although it considers it a co-aggressor
The Belarusian regime calls on the West for dialogue, but the West does not see an independent player
Under increasing Western pressure, Minsk is eager for negotiations on Ukraine and demands security guarantees
The Belarusian regime condemns itself to sanctions and blockades from the West
The West calls on Belarus to stop enabling Russian aggression against Ukraine and threatens joint complicity
Belarus may find itself blockaded due to participation in Russia’s aggression against Ukraine
The international community sees Belarus as an aggressor state and strengthens sanctions pressure
The West will punish Belarus as harshly as Russia for aggression against Ukraine
The West imposes new sanctions against Belarus for aggression against Ukraine
The West is preparing a new package of sanctions against Belarus in connection with the escalation of the Ukraine crisis and the controversial constitutional referendum
By escalating, Minsk risks losing its relevance and provoking new Western sanctions
Minsk continues to escalate confrontation with the West, despite the obvious costs
The regime loses agency in the eyes of the West despite of trying to do the opposite
A constitutional referendum in exchange for the lifting of Western sanctions?
The Belarusian regime threatens the West with diplomatic and transit conflicts
The regime threatens Afghan refugees, nuclear weapons and the suspension of gas transit, the West – with new sanctions
Belarusian regime has introduced counter-sanctions against the West
In response to new sanctions from the West, the Lukashenka regime is trading in sovereignty and the Russian threat
Despite the de-escalation of the migration crisis, the West is increasing sanctions pressure
The EU opens technical dialogue with the Belarusian regime but does not recognise its legitimacy
Belarusian regime responds by escalating to the preparation of the 5th package of EU sanctions, the West seeks support from Russia
The EU has agreed the criteria for the fifth package of sanctions, but does not exclude dialogue with the Belarusian regime
As the fifth package of EU sanctions approaches, Minsk looks for mediators for dialogue with the West
EU finalizes the preparation of new sanctions, Minsk goes on counteroffensive
The EU will adopt the fifth package of sanctions in November; the Belarusian regime continues diplomacy in the “far abroad”
The West contemplates increasing sanctions pressure as Minsk tries to restart the distant arc of foreign policy
Minsk’s back door diplomacy fails as the West intensifies criticism of the regime for conducting a hybrid war and orchestrating a humanitarian crisis
The Belarusian crisis remains on the agenda of the West; new sanctions are on the way
The Belarus crisis remains under the Western spotlight as the Lukashenka regime flirts with de-escalation
Belarus-West relations
The West deepens the isolation of Belarus and turns it into an arena of geopolitical rivalry with Russia 
June 13 – June 19
Ukrainian grain transit through Belarus faces opposition from the West 
June 6 – June 12
The EU introduces the sixth package of sanctions against Belarus amid discussion of a transit scheme for Ukrainian grain
May 30 – June 5
The Belarusian regime is trying to justify participation in aggression and soften Western sanctions
May 23 – May 29
Belarusian potash in exchange for easing Western sanctions?
May 16 – May 22
As the West tightens sanctions, the Belarusian regime distances itself from the war
May 9 – May 15
The Belarusian regime hopes to mediate between Russia and the West while demanding security guarantees in the face of new sanctions
May 2 – May 8
The Belarusian regime is rapidly losing relevance in the eyes of the West
April 25 – May 1
The West has not rejected dialogue with Belarus in principle, although it considers it a co-aggressor
April 18 – April 24
The Belarusian regime calls on the West for dialogue, but the West does not see an independent player
April 11 – April 17
Under increasing Western pressure, Minsk is eager for negotiations on Ukraine and demands security guarantees
April 4 – April 10
The Belarusian regime condemns itself to sanctions and blockades from the West 
March 28 – April 3
The West calls on Belarus to stop enabling Russian aggression against Ukraine and threatens joint complicity
March 21 – March 27
Belarus may find itself blockaded due to participation in Russia’s aggression against Ukraine
March 14 – March 20
The international community sees Belarus as an aggressor state and strengthens sanctions pressure
March 7 – March 13
The West will punish Belarus as harshly as Russia for aggression against Ukraine
February 28 – March 6
The West imposes new sanctions against Belarus for aggression against Ukraine
February 21 – February 27
The West is preparing a new package of sanctions against Belarus in connection with the escalation of the Ukraine crisis and the controversial constitutional referendum
February 14 – February 20
By escalating, Minsk risks losing its relevance and provoking new Western sanctions
February 7 – February 13
Minsk continues to escalate confrontation with the West, despite the obvious costs
January 31 – February 6
The regime loses agency in the eyes of the West despite of trying to do the opposite
January 17 – January 23
A constitutional referendum in exchange for the lifting of Western sanctions?
January 10 – January 16
The Belarusian regime threatens the West with diplomatic and transit conflicts
December 20 – December 26
The regime threatens Afghan refugees, nuclear weapons and the suspension of gas transit, the West – with new sanctions
December 13 – December 19
Belarusian regime has introduced counter-sanctions against the West
December 6 – December 12
In response to new sanctions from the West, the Lukashenka regime is trading in sovereignty and the Russian threat
November 29 – December 5
Despite the de-escalation of the migration crisis, the West is increasing sanctions pressure
November 22 – November 28
The EU opens technical dialogue with the Belarusian regime but does not recognise its legitimacy
November 15 – November 21
Belarusian regime responds by escalating to the preparation of the 5th package of EU sanctions, the West seeks support from Russia
November 8 – November 14
The EU has agreed the criteria for the fifth package of sanctions, but does not exclude dialogue with the Belarusian regime
November 1 – November 7
As the fifth package of EU sanctions approaches, Minsk looks for mediators for dialogue with the West
October 25 – October 31
EU finalizes the preparation of new sanctions, Minsk goes on counteroffensive
October 18 – October 24
The EU will adopt the fifth package of sanctions in November; the Belarusian regime continues diplomacy in the “far abroad”
October 11 – October 17
The West contemplates increasing sanctions pressure as Minsk tries to restart the distant arc of foreign policy
October 4 – October 10
Minsk’s back door diplomacy fails as the West intensifies criticism of the regime for conducting a hybrid war and orchestrating a humanitarian crisis
September 27 – October 3
The Belarusian crisis remains on the agenda of the West; new sanctions are on the way
September 20 – September 26
The Belarus crisis remains under the Western spotlight as the Lukashenka regime flirts with de-escalation
September 13 – September 19