All trends
The Belarusian regime risks running into new Western sanctions
New sanctions: loss of sovereignty punishable
The regime tries to telegraph the West with nuclear threats and “non-participation” in the war
The Belarusian regime protests at being labelled a co-aggressor but does nothing to refute this term
The Lukashenka regime calls for dialogue as the West prepares the eighth package of sanctions
Belarus hopes to outmanoeuvre the West with the help of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)
A new round of horse trading over political prisoners will not alleviate the sanctions blockade
Minsk gambles on the collapse of Euro-Atlantic unity and Russian victory
The Belarusian regime hopes for a quick Russian victory and once again threatens the West
The Lukashenka regime says it hears overtures from the West but prefers to negotiate from a position of strength
On the second anniversary of the political crisis, the West retains its uncompromising position
In response to Western sanctions: support for Russia against Ukraine and re-orientation to the “far abroad”
Minsk develops an export diversification strategy in response to Western sanctions
The West ignores signals from Minsk as the regime bets further afield
The West softens some sanctions against Russia, but confirms pressure on Belarus
The Belarusian regime escalates as the West prepares the seventh package of sanctions
The West labels Russia a strategic security threat, while the Belarusian regime swears allegiance to the Kremlin
The European Commission considers the future of Belarus as Lukashenka blackmails the West with nuclear weapons
The West deepens the isolation of Belarus and turns it into an arena of geopolitical rivalry with Russia
Ukrainian grain transit through Belarus faces opposition from the West
The EU introduces the sixth package of sanctions against Belarus amid discussion of a transit scheme for Ukrainian grain
The Belarusian regime is trying to justify participation in aggression and soften Western sanctions
Belarusian potash in exchange for easing Western sanctions?
As the West tightens sanctions, the Belarusian regime distances itself from the war
The Belarusian regime hopes to mediate between Russia and the West while demanding security guarantees in the face of new sanctions
The Belarusian regime is rapidly losing relevance in the eyes of the West
The West has not rejected dialogue with Belarus in principle, although it considers it a co-aggressor
The Belarusian regime calls on the West for dialogue, but the West does not see an independent player
Under increasing Western pressure, Minsk is eager for negotiations on Ukraine and demands security guarantees
The Belarusian regime condemns itself to sanctions and blockades from the West
The West calls on Belarus to stop enabling Russian aggression against Ukraine and threatens joint complicity
Belarus may find itself blockaded due to participation in Russia’s aggression against Ukraine
The international community sees Belarus as an aggressor state and strengthens sanctions pressure
The West will punish Belarus as harshly as Russia for aggression against Ukraine
The West imposes new sanctions against Belarus for aggression against Ukraine
The West is preparing a new package of sanctions against Belarus in connection with the escalation of the Ukraine crisis and the controversial constitutional referendum
By escalating, Minsk risks losing its relevance and provoking new Western sanctions
Belarus-West relations
The Belarusian regime risks running into new Western sanctions 
October 17 – October 23
New sanctions: loss of sovereignty punishable 
October 10 – October 16
The regime tries to telegraph the West with nuclear threats and “non-participation” in the war 
October 3 – October 9
The Belarusian regime protests at being labelled a co-aggressor but does nothing to refute this term
September 26 – October 2
The Lukashenka regime calls for dialogue as the West prepares the eighth package of sanctions
September 19 – September 25
Belarus hopes to outmanoeuvre the West with the help of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)
September 12 – September 18
A new round of horse trading over political prisoners will not alleviate the sanctions blockade
September 5 – September 11
Minsk gambles on the collapse of Euro-Atlantic unity and Russian victory
August 29 – September 4
The Belarusian regime hopes for a quick Russian victory and once again threatens the West
August 22 – August 28
The Lukashenka regime says it hears overtures from the West but prefers to negotiate from a position of strength
August 15 – August 21
On the second anniversary of the political crisis, the West retains its uncompromising position
August 8 – August 14
In response to Western sanctions: support for Russia against Ukraine and re-orientation to the “far abroad”
August 1 – August 7
Minsk develops an export diversification strategy in response to Western sanctions
July 25 – July 31
The West ignores signals from Minsk as the regime bets further afield
July 18 – July 24
The West softens some sanctions against Russia, but confirms pressure on Belarus
July 11 – July 17
The Belarusian regime escalates as the West prepares the seventh package of sanctions
July 4 – July 10
The West labels Russia a strategic security threat, while the Belarusian regime swears allegiance to the Kremlin
June 27 – July 3
The European Commission considers the future of Belarus as Lukashenka blackmails the West with nuclear weapons
June 20 – June 26
The West deepens the isolation of Belarus and turns it into an arena of geopolitical rivalry with Russia
June 13 – June 19
Ukrainian grain transit through Belarus faces opposition from the West
June 6 – June 12
The EU introduces the sixth package of sanctions against Belarus amid discussion of a transit scheme for Ukrainian grain
May 30 – June 5
The Belarusian regime is trying to justify participation in aggression and soften Western sanctions
May 23 – May 29
Belarusian potash in exchange for easing Western sanctions?
May 16 – May 22
As the West tightens sanctions, the Belarusian regime distances itself from the war
May 9 – May 15
The Belarusian regime hopes to mediate between Russia and the West while demanding security guarantees in the face of new sanctions
May 2 – May 8
The Belarusian regime is rapidly losing relevance in the eyes of the West
April 25 – May 1
The West has not rejected dialogue with Belarus in principle, although it considers it a co-aggressor
April 18 – April 24
The Belarusian regime calls on the West for dialogue, but the West does not see an independent player
April 11 – April 17
Under increasing Western pressure, Minsk is eager for negotiations on Ukraine and demands security guarantees
April 4 – April 10
The Belarusian regime condemns itself to sanctions and blockades from the West
March 28 – April 3
The West calls on Belarus to stop enabling Russian aggression against Ukraine and threatens joint complicity
March 21 – March 27
Belarus may find itself blockaded due to participation in Russia’s aggression against Ukraine
March 14 – March 20
The international community sees Belarus as an aggressor state and strengthens sanctions pressure
March 7 – March 13
The West will punish Belarus as harshly as Russia for aggression against Ukraine
February 28 – March 6
The West imposes new sanctions against Belarus for aggression against Ukraine
February 21 – February 27
The West is preparing a new package of sanctions against Belarus in connection with the escalation of the Ukraine crisis and the controversial constitutional referendum
February 14 – February 20
By escalating, Minsk risks losing its relevance and provoking new Western sanctions
February 7 – February 13