All trends

Belarus-West relations

Poland and Lithuania are preparing for a complete blockade of Belarus; the EU has introduced a new package of sanctions

July 31 – August 6

The regime writes off the UN and negotiations with the West

July 24 – July 30

The West threatens the regime with The ICC in Hague and new sanctions; the regime responds with talk of nuclear strikes

July 17 – July 23

Belarus features on the agenda of the NATO summit, but the response to the deployment of nuclear weapons in Belarus is insufficient

July 10 – July 16

The West notices the “soft annexation” of Belarus while the Belarusian regime denies everything and offers negotiations

July 3 – July 9

Lukashenka threatens the West with a migration crisis, a “nuclear guillotine” and Prigozhin

June 26 – July 2

EU Implements 11th Sanctions Package and Prepares 12th, Regime Readies Retaliatory Measures

June 19 – June 25

Western Pressure Mounts: Extending Sanctions, Seeking Justice, and Addressing Russian Threats in Belarus

June 12 – June 18

The regime fails to be elected to the UN Security Council and blames “the collective West”

June 5 – June 11

Ukraine and the Democratic Forces of Belarus advocate a Euro-Atlantic strategy

May 29 – June 4

Poland, Lithuania and the opposition-in-exile are lobbying for tougher sanctions as the regime manoeuvres

May 22 – May 28

The Quest for Belarus: Shaping a European Future Amidst Sanctions, Solidarity, and Security Concerns

May 15 – May 21

The West contemplates including Belarus in the 11th package of sanctions. Lukashenka is invited to New York

May 8 – May 14

The West discusses sanctions against countries helping Russia; Lukashenka pins his hopes on the UN and Vatican

May 1 – May 7

The West considers the regime’s involvement in the deportation of Ukrainian children as Lukashenka escalates his dispute with Lithuania

April 24 – April 30

The West condemns deploying nuclear weapons to Belarus and prepares for new sanctions

April 17 – April 23

The Belarusian regime uses Hungary and Potash to block new Western sanctions

April 10 – April 16

The West has not yet reacted to the nuclear blackmail of the Belarusian regime and the Kremlin

April 3 – April 9

Nuclear weapons in Belarus will provoke new Western sanctions and cool relations with China

March 27 – April 2

Nuclear weapons in Belarus represent another point of no return in relations with the West

March 20 – March 26

The shadow of an international tribunal hangs over the Belarusian regime

March 13 – March 19

Stumbling over Potash: Western Illusions regarding the Belarusian regime block agreement on sanctions

March 6 – March 12

While the new package of EU sanctions remains stalled some Western countries are taking the initiative

February 27 – March 5

The West is preparing to punish Belarus on the anniversary of the Russian military aggression against Ukraine

February 20 – February 26

The West’s efforts to persuade Lukashenka not to expand participation in the war against Ukraine were unsuccessful

February 13 – February 19

Poland is at the forefront of Western pressure as the Belarusian regime tries to play peacemaker

February 6 – February 12

The EU prepares sanctions in the event of a new invasion from Belarus. The US leaves open the possibility of dialogue with regime

January 30 – February 5

Synchronisation of sanctions: the line between Belarus and Russia is blurring

January 23 – January 29

The West is preparing new sanctions against Belarus as the anniversary of the Russian attack on Ukraine approaches

January 16 – January 22

Minsk failed to take advantage of the sanctions reprieve in relations with the West

January 9 – January 15

2022: Little prospect of normalization: the point of no return has been passed

December 26 – January 1

Is the Belarusian regime once again trying to assume the role of “honest broker”?

December 12 – December 18

Belarus did not fall under the 9th package of EU sanctions. Secret regime diplomacy at work?

December 5 – December 11

Will the West and Ukraine help with the isolation and de-occupation of Belarus?

November 28 – December 4

The regime’s foreign policy towards the West may change significantly

November 21 – November 27

The 9th package of Western sanctions is on the way as the regime aggravates the situation

November 14 – November 20

As the regime unsuccessfully tries to establish contacts with the West, new sanctions are on the way

November 7 – November 13