All trends
Lukashenka has become an obstacle on the Belt and Road between China and Europe
The regime continues to integrate into the anti-Western Russia-Iran axis
Desynchronization of forces within the domestic political cycle, maintaining international pressure, and isolating the regime
Neighboring countries continue to prepare for the complete closure of the border with Belarus
The West is reminding the Belarusian regime of The Hague, while the regime is once again positioning itself as a mediator
Lukashenka calls on neighboring countries for friendship, while the European Parliament calls for an ICC warrant for his arrest
The “Passport Decree” raises concerns in the West and prompts further criticism of the regime
The regime leverages distant allies and nuclear weapons to confront the West
On the third anniversary of the 2020 protests, the West has not forgotten about Belarus as the regime calls for dialogue
Poland and Lithuania are preparing for a complete blockade of Belarus; the EU has introduced a new package of sanctions
The regime writes off the UN and negotiations with the West
The West threatens the regime with The ICC in Hague and new sanctions; the regime responds with talk of nuclear strikes
Belarus features on the agenda of the NATO summit, but the response to the deployment of nuclear weapons in Belarus is insufficient
The West notices the “soft annexation” of Belarus while the Belarusian regime denies everything and offers negotiations
Lukashenka threatens the West with a migration crisis, a “nuclear guillotine” and Prigozhin
EU Implements 11th Sanctions Package and Prepares 12th, Regime Readies Retaliatory Measures
Western Pressure Mounts: Extending Sanctions, Seeking Justice, and Addressing Russian Threats in Belarus
The regime fails to be elected to the UN Security Council and blames “the collective West”
Ukraine and the Democratic Forces of Belarus advocate a Euro-Atlantic strategy
Poland, Lithuania and the opposition-in-exile are lobbying for tougher sanctions as the regime manoeuvres
The Quest for Belarus: Shaping a European Future Amidst Sanctions, Solidarity, and Security Concerns
The West contemplates including Belarus in the 11th package of sanctions. Lukashenka is invited to New York
The West discusses sanctions against countries helping Russia; Lukashenka pins his hopes on the UN and Vatican
The West considers the regime’s involvement in the deportation of Ukrainian children as Lukashenka escalates his dispute with Lithuania
The West condemns deploying nuclear weapons to Belarus and prepares for new sanctions
The Belarusian regime uses Hungary and Potash to block new Western sanctions
The West has not yet reacted to the nuclear blackmail of the Belarusian regime and the Kremlin
Nuclear weapons in Belarus will provoke new Western sanctions and cool relations with China
Nuclear weapons in Belarus represent another point of no return in relations with the West
The shadow of an international tribunal hangs over the Belarusian regime
Stumbling over Potash: Western Illusions regarding the Belarusian regime block agreement on sanctions
While the new package of EU sanctions remains stalled some Western countries are taking the initiative
The West is preparing to punish Belarus on the anniversary of the Russian military aggression against Ukraine
The West’s efforts to persuade Lukashenka not to expand participation in the war against Ukraine were unsuccessful
Poland is at the forefront of Western pressure as the Belarusian regime tries to play peacemaker
The EU prepares sanctions in the event of a new invasion from Belarus. The US leaves open the possibility of dialogue with regime
Synchronisation of sanctions: the line between Belarus and Russia is blurring
Belarus-West relations
Lukashenka has become an obstacle on the Belt and Road between China and Europe 
October 16 – October 22
The regime continues to integrate into the anti-Western Russia-Iran axis
October 9 – October 15
Desynchronization of forces within the domestic political cycle, maintaining international pressure, and isolating the regime
October 2 – October 8
Neighboring countries continue to prepare for the complete closure of the border with Belarus 
September 25 – October 1
The West is reminding the Belarusian regime of The Hague, while the regime is once again positioning itself as a mediator
September 18 – September 24
Lukashenka calls on neighboring countries for friendship, while the European Parliament calls for an ICC warrant for his arrest
September 11 – September 17
The “Passport Decree” raises concerns in the West and prompts further criticism of the regime
September 4 – September 10
The regime leverages distant allies and nuclear weapons to confront the West
August 14 – August 20
On the third anniversary of the 2020 protests, the West has not forgotten about Belarus as the regime calls for dialogue
August 7 – August 13
Poland and Lithuania are preparing for a complete blockade of Belarus; the EU has introduced a new package of sanctions
July 31 – August 6
The regime writes off the UN and negotiations with the West
July 24 – July 30
The West threatens the regime with The ICC in Hague and new sanctions; the regime responds with talk of nuclear strikes
July 17 – July 23
Belarus features on the agenda of the NATO summit, but the response to the deployment of nuclear weapons in Belarus is insufficient
July 10 – July 16
The West notices the “soft annexation” of Belarus while the Belarusian regime denies everything and offers negotiations
July 3 – July 9
Lukashenka threatens the West with a migration crisis, a “nuclear guillotine” and Prigozhin
June 26 – July 2
EU Implements 11th Sanctions Package and Prepares 12th, Regime Readies Retaliatory Measures 
June 19 – June 25
Western Pressure Mounts: Extending Sanctions, Seeking Justice, and Addressing Russian Threats in Belarus
June 12 – June 18
The regime fails to be elected to the UN Security Council and blames “the collective West”
June 5 – June 11
Ukraine and the Democratic Forces of Belarus advocate a Euro-Atlantic strategy
May 29 – June 4
Poland, Lithuania and the opposition-in-exile are lobbying for tougher sanctions as the regime manoeuvres
May 22 – May 28
The Quest for Belarus: Shaping a European Future Amidst Sanctions, Solidarity, and Security Concerns
May 15 – May 21
The West contemplates including Belarus in the 11th package of sanctions. Lukashenka is invited to New York
May 8 – May 14
The West discusses sanctions against countries helping Russia; Lukashenka pins his hopes on the UN and Vatican
May 1 – May 7
The West considers the regime’s involvement in the deportation of Ukrainian children as Lukashenka escalates his dispute with Lithuania
April 24 – April 30
The West condemns deploying nuclear weapons to Belarus and prepares for new sanctions
April 17 – April 23
The Belarusian regime uses Hungary and Potash to block new Western sanctions
April 10 – April 16
The West has not yet reacted to the nuclear blackmail of the Belarusian regime and the Kremlin
April 3 – April 9
Nuclear weapons in Belarus will provoke new Western sanctions and cool relations with China
March 27 – April 2
Nuclear weapons in Belarus represent another point of no return in relations with the West
March 20 – March 26
The shadow of an international tribunal hangs over the Belarusian regime
March 13 – March 19
Stumbling over Potash: Western Illusions regarding the Belarusian regime block agreement on sanctions
March 6 – March 12
While the new package of EU sanctions remains stalled some Western countries are taking the initiative
February 27 – March 5
The West is preparing to punish Belarus on the anniversary of the Russian military aggression against Ukraine
February 20 – February 26
The West’s efforts to persuade Lukashenka not to expand participation in the war against Ukraine were unsuccessful
February 13 – February 19
Poland is at the forefront of Western pressure as the Belarusian regime tries to play peacemaker
February 6 – February 12
The EU prepares sanctions in the event of a new invasion from Belarus. The US leaves open the possibility of dialogue with regime
January 30 – February 5
Synchronisation of sanctions: the line between Belarus and Russia is blurring
January 23 – January 29