All trends

Belarus-West relations

Will the West and Ukraine help with the isolation and de-occupation of Belarus?

November 28 – December 4

The regime’s foreign policy towards the West may change significantly

November 21 – November 27

The 9th package of Western sanctions is on the way as the regime aggravates the situation

November 14 – November 20

As the regime unsuccessfully tries to establish contacts with the West, new sanctions are on the way

November 7 – November 13

The regime claims it has no intention of going to war, but the West is prepared in any case

October 31 – November 6

As the West prepares new sanctions, the regime seeks to reorient itself to the CIS and Iran

October 24 – October 30

The Belarusian regime risks running into new Western sanctions

October 17 – October 23

New sanctions: loss of sovereignty punishable

October 10 – October 16

The regime tries to telegraph the West with nuclear threats and “non-participation” in the war

October 3 – October 9

The Belarusian regime protests at being labelled a co-aggressor but does nothing to refute this term

September 26 – October 2

The Lukashenka regime calls for dialogue as the West prepares the eighth package of sanctions

September 19 – September 25

Belarus hopes to outmanoeuvre the West with the help of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)

September 12 – September 18

A new round of horse trading over political prisoners will not alleviate the sanctions blockade

September 5 – September 11

Minsk gambles on the collapse of Euro-Atlantic unity and Russian victory

August 29 – September 4

The Belarusian regime hopes for a quick Russian victory and once again threatens the West

August 22 – August 28

The Lukashenka regime says it hears overtures from the West but prefers to negotiate from a position of strength

August 15 – August 21

On the second anniversary of the political crisis, the West retains its uncompromising position

August 8 – August 14

In response to Western sanctions: support for Russia against Ukraine and re-orientation to the “far abroad”

August 1 – August 7

Minsk develops an export diversification strategy in response to Western sanctions

July 25 – July 31

The West ignores signals from Minsk as the regime bets further afield

July 18 – July 24

The West softens some sanctions against Russia, but confirms pressure on Belarus

July 11 – July 17

The Belarusian regime escalates as the West prepares the seventh package of sanctions

July 4 – July 10

The West labels Russia a strategic security threat, while the Belarusian regime swears allegiance to the Kremlin

June 27 – July 3

The European Commission considers the future of Belarus as Lukashenka blackmails the West with nuclear weapons

June 20 – June 26

The West deepens the isolation of Belarus and turns it into an arena of geopolitical rivalry with Russia

June 13 – June 19

Ukrainian grain transit through Belarus faces opposition from the West

June 6 – June 12

The EU introduces the sixth package of sanctions against Belarus amid discussion of a transit scheme for Ukrainian grain

May 30 – June 5

The Belarusian regime is trying to justify participation in aggression and soften Western sanctions

May 23 – May 29

Belarusian potash in exchange for easing Western sanctions?

May 16 – May 22

As the West tightens sanctions, the Belarusian regime distances itself from the war

May 9 – May 15

The Belarusian regime hopes to mediate between Russia and the West while demanding security guarantees in the face of new sanctions

May 2 – May 8

The Belarusian regime is rapidly losing relevance in the eyes of the West

April 25 – May 1

The West has not rejected dialogue with Belarus in principle, although it considers it a co-aggressor

April 18 – April 24

The Belarusian regime calls on the West for dialogue, but the West does not see an independent player

April 11 – April 17

Under increasing Western pressure, Minsk is eager for negotiations on Ukraine and demands security guarantees

April 4 – April 10

The Belarusian regime condemns itself to sanctions and blockades from the West

March 28 – April 3

The West calls on Belarus to stop enabling Russian aggression against Ukraine and threatens joint complicity

March 21 – March 27