All trends
Belarus may find itself blockaded due to participation in Russia’s aggression against Ukraine
The international community sees Belarus as an aggressor state and strengthens sanctions pressure
The West will punish Belarus as harshly as Russia for aggression against Ukraine
The West imposes new sanctions against Belarus for aggression against Ukraine
The West is preparing a new package of sanctions against Belarus in connection with the escalation of the Ukraine crisis and the controversial constitutional referendum
By escalating, Minsk risks losing its relevance and provoking new Western sanctions
Minsk continues to escalate confrontation with the West, despite the obvious costs
The regime loses agency in the eyes of the West despite of trying to do the opposite
A constitutional referendum in exchange for the lifting of Western sanctions?
The Belarusian regime threatens the West with diplomatic and transit conflicts
The regime threatens Afghan refugees, nuclear weapons and the suspension of gas transit, the West – with new sanctions
Belarusian regime has introduced counter-sanctions against the West
In response to new sanctions from the West, the Lukashenka regime is trading in sovereignty and the Russian threat
Despite the de-escalation of the migration crisis, the West is increasing sanctions pressure
The EU opens technical dialogue with the Belarusian regime but does not recognise its legitimacy
Belarusian regime responds by escalating to the preparation of the 5th package of EU sanctions, the West seeks support from Russia
The EU has agreed the criteria for the fifth package of sanctions, but does not exclude dialogue with the Belarusian regime
As the fifth package of EU sanctions approaches, Minsk looks for mediators for dialogue with the West
EU finalizes the preparation of new sanctions, Minsk goes on counteroffensive
The EU will adopt the fifth package of sanctions in November; the Belarusian regime continues diplomacy in the “far abroad”
The West contemplates increasing sanctions pressure as Minsk tries to restart the distant arc of foreign policy
Minsk’s back door diplomacy fails as the West intensifies criticism of the regime for conducting a hybrid war and orchestrating a humanitarian crisis
The Belarusian crisis remains on the agenda of the West; new sanctions are on the way
The Belarus crisis remains under the Western spotlight as the Lukashenka regime flirts with de-escalation
Increased sanctions pressure pushes Minsk to break through foreign policy isolation in relations with the West
The fifth package of European sanctions is on the way, the Belarusian regime is becoming toxic even for China
The migration crisis becomes a source of irritation for new EU countries
The EU is preparing to strengthen sanctions due to the migration crisis, and within the political situation, the Belarusian regime is sending ambiguous signals
Western allies synchronise sanctions pressure; Lukashenka does not rule out negotiations but rejects preconditions
Migration tidal wave against the EU fails, US and allies plan new sanctions on the anniversary of the Belarusian protests
As the EU formulates conditions for the lifting of sanctions, U.S. plans additional sanctions
Burning bridges with the West
A New Wave of Repression in Belarus Provokes Negative Reaction of the West
Regime tries to retaliate against Western sanctions
Escalating tensions with the West assumes new dynamics
The EU imposes additional economic sanctions
Western sanctions pressure increases
Belarus-West relations
Belarus may find itself blockaded due to participation in Russia’s aggression against Ukraine 
March 14 – March 20
The international community sees Belarus as an aggressor state and strengthens sanctions pressure 
March 7 – March 13
The West will punish Belarus as harshly as Russia for aggression against Ukraine
February 28 – March 6
The West imposes new sanctions against Belarus for aggression against Ukraine
February 21 – February 27
The West is preparing a new package of sanctions against Belarus in connection with the escalation of the Ukraine crisis and the controversial constitutional referendum
February 14 – February 20
By escalating, Minsk risks losing its relevance and provoking new Western sanctions
February 7 – February 13
Minsk continues to escalate confrontation with the West, despite the obvious costs
January 31 – February 6
The regime loses agency in the eyes of the West despite of trying to do the opposite
January 17 – January 23
A constitutional referendum in exchange for the lifting of Western sanctions? 
January 10 – January 16
The Belarusian regime threatens the West with diplomatic and transit conflicts
December 20 – December 26
The regime threatens Afghan refugees, nuclear weapons and the suspension of gas transit, the West – with new sanctions
December 13 – December 19
Belarusian regime has introduced counter-sanctions against the West
December 6 – December 12
In response to new sanctions from the West, the Lukashenka regime is trading in sovereignty and the Russian threat
November 29 – December 5
Despite the de-escalation of the migration crisis, the West is increasing sanctions pressure
November 22 – November 28
The EU opens technical dialogue with the Belarusian regime but does not recognise its legitimacy
November 15 – November 21
Belarusian regime responds by escalating to the preparation of the 5th package of EU sanctions, the West seeks support from Russia
November 8 – November 14
The EU has agreed the criteria for the fifth package of sanctions, but does not exclude dialogue with the Belarusian regime
November 1 – November 7
As the fifth package of EU sanctions approaches, Minsk looks for mediators for dialogue with the West
October 25 – October 31
EU finalizes the preparation of new sanctions, Minsk goes on counteroffensive
October 18 – October 24
The EU will adopt the fifth package of sanctions in November; the Belarusian regime continues diplomacy in the “far abroad”
October 11 – October 17
The West contemplates increasing sanctions pressure as Minsk tries to restart the distant arc of foreign policy
October 4 – October 10
Minsk’s back door diplomacy fails as the West intensifies criticism of the regime for conducting a hybrid war and orchestrating a humanitarian crisis
September 27 – October 3
The Belarusian crisis remains on the agenda of the West; new sanctions are on the way
September 20 – September 26
The Belarus crisis remains under the Western spotlight as the Lukashenka regime flirts with de-escalation
September 13 – September 19
Increased sanctions pressure pushes Minsk to break through foreign policy isolation in relations with the West
September 6 – September 12
The fifth package of European sanctions is on the way, the Belarusian regime is becoming toxic even for China
August 30 – September 5
The migration crisis becomes a source of irritation for new EU countries
August 23 – August 29
The EU is preparing to strengthen sanctions due to the migration crisis, and within the political situation, the Belarusian regime is sending ambiguous signals
August 16 – August 22
Western allies synchronise sanctions pressure; Lukashenka does not rule out negotiations but rejects preconditions
August 9 – August 15
Migration tidal wave against the EU fails, US and allies plan new sanctions on the anniversary of the Belarusian protests
August 2 – August 8
As the EU formulates conditions for the lifting of sanctions, U.S. plans additional sanctions
July 26 – August 1
Burning bridges with the West
July 19 – July 25
A New Wave of Repression in Belarus Provokes Negative Reaction of the West
July 12 – July 18
Regime tries to retaliate against Western sanctions
July 5 – July 11
Escalating tensions with the West assumes new dynamics
June 28 – July 4
The EU imposes additional economic sanctions
June 21 – June 27
Western sanctions pressure increases
June 14 – June 20