All trends
            
            
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                The leadership of Belarus: one or none                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                The strength of the CSTO is being tested by internal conflicts                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Belarusian-Ukrainian relations are approaching a nadir                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Russian fighter jets are already present in Belarus                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Belarus and Poland teeter on the brink of confrontation                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Political opponents of the Belarusian regime labelled as terrorists                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                The Belarusian Military-Industrial Complex is at risk                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                The Belarusian regime legalises repressive practices                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Loss of confidence leads to new leadership at the Ministry of Emergency Situations and the Investigative Committee                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Minsk uses Russia to intimidate the West. Again                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                The crime rate in Belarus increases for the second year running                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                The regime believes that there is a “Headquarters of the Revolution” and seeks to prevent spring protests                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Belarusian neutrality is cheap fiction                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                The hypothetical Belarusian military mission in Syria is unlikely to be intended as a combat mission                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Belarusian missile program proceeds, but the prospects are still uncertain                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Minsk authorities wager on regional security issues                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Critical dependence on Russian weapons will remain                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Law enforcement agencies have complied with the 2020 budget                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                2020 – a year of security losses                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Cuts in the Belarusian defence budget in 2021                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                The security forces’ measures to address the coronavirus outbreak lack consistency                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Minsk tries to dress up the domestic political crisis in the garb of a geopolitical confrontation                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                The Belarusian Defense Ministry faces financial constraints                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Coronavirus has affected CSTO operations                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Crisis of confidence within the CSTO                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Belarusian military industry is going through hard times                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Lukashenka is looking for a cheap option to strengthen repression and intimidate the protest                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Political persecution is becoming the primary function of the prosecutor’s office                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Russia’s security guarantees appear to be unreliable                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                The diplomatic war between Minsk and the West will undermine regional security cooperation                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Minsk clings to National Missile Programme                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Minsk and Moscow “extend” “Slavic Brotherhood-2020”                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Minsk attempts to resume regional security dialogue                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                The regime marshals its supporters                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Minsk attempts to thwart a ‘deal on Belarus’ between the Kremlin and the West                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Compulsory military service as a penalty for student protests                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Minsk whips up conspiracies, claiming a threat from the West                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                            
                                            
            
            
        
    Security issues
                                The leadership of Belarus: one or none                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            May 3 – May 9
                                                    
                                The strength of the CSTO is being tested by internal conflicts                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            April 26 – May 2
                                                    
                                Belarusian-Ukrainian relations are approaching a nadir                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            April 19 – April 25
                                                    
                                Russian fighter jets are already present in Belarus                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            April 12 – April 18
                                                    
                                Belarus and Poland teeter on the brink of confrontation                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            April 5 – April 11
                                                    
                                Political opponents of the Belarusian regime labelled as terrorists                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            March 29 – April 4
                                                    
                                The Belarusian Military-Industrial Complex is at risk                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            March 22 – March 28
                                                    
                                The Belarusian regime legalises repressive practices                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            March 15 – March 21
                                                    
                                Loss of confidence leads to new leadership at the Ministry of Emergency Situations and the Investigative Committee                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            March 8 – March 14
                                                    
                                Minsk uses Russia to intimidate the West. Again                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            March 1 – March 7
                                                    
                                The crime rate in Belarus increases for the second year running                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            February 22 – February 28
                                                    
                                The regime believes that there is a “Headquarters of the Revolution” and seeks to prevent spring protests                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            February 15 – February 21
                                                    
                                Belarusian neutrality is cheap fiction                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            February 8 – February 14
                                                    
                                The hypothetical Belarusian military mission in Syria is unlikely to be intended as a combat mission                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            February 1 – February 7
                                                    
                                Belarusian missile program proceeds, but the prospects are still uncertain                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            January 25 – January 31
                                                    
                                Minsk authorities wager on regional security issues                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            January 18 – January 24
                                                    
                                Critical dependence on Russian weapons will remain                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            January 11 – January 17
                                                    
                                Law enforcement agencies have complied with the 2020 budget                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            January 4 – January 10
                                                    
                                2020 – a year of security losses                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            January 4 – January 10
                                                    
                                Cuts in the Belarusian defence budget in 2021                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            December 14 – December 20
                                                    
                                The security forces’ measures to address the coronavirus outbreak lack consistency                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            December 7 – December 13
                                                    
                                Minsk tries to dress up the domestic political crisis in the garb of a geopolitical confrontation                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            November 30 – December 6
                                                    
                                The Belarusian Defense Ministry faces financial constraints                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            November 23 – November 29
                                                    
                                Coronavirus has affected CSTO operations                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            November 16 – November 22
                                                    
                                Crisis of confidence within the CSTO                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            November 9 – November 15
                                                    
                                Belarusian military industry is going through hard times                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            November 2 – November 8
                                                    
                                Lukashenka is looking for a cheap option to strengthen repression and intimidate the protest                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            October 26 – November 1
                                                    
                                Political persecution is becoming the primary function of the prosecutor’s office                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            October 19 – October 25
                                                    
                                Russia’s security guarantees appear to be unreliable                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            October 12 – October 18
                                                    
                                The diplomatic war between Minsk and the West will undermine regional security cooperation                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            October 5 – October 11
                                                    
                                Minsk clings to National Missile Programme                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            September 28 – October 4
                                                    
                                Minsk and Moscow “extend” “Slavic Brotherhood-2020”                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            September 21 – September 27
                                                    
                                Minsk attempts to resume regional security dialogue                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            September 14 – September 20
                                                    
                                The regime marshals its supporters                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            September 7 – September 13
                                                    
                                Minsk attempts to thwart a ‘deal on Belarus’ between the Kremlin and the West                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            August 31 – September 6
                                                    
                                Compulsory military service as a penalty for student protests                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            August 24 – August 30
                                                    
                                Minsk whips up conspiracies, claiming a threat from the West                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            August 17 – August 23