All trends
            
            
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                The Kremlin Plans to Absorb Belarus to Establish a Military Stronghold Against NATO                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Minsk and Moscow Prepare for “Zapad-2025” Exercises and Do Not Plan to Invite NATO Observers                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                The Lukashenka Regime Concerned About the Incursion of Belarusian Volunteers Amid the Presidential Elections                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                2024: Everything is ready for war escalation. 2025: Reopening of the “northern front” against Ukraine                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Putin Reminded of the Nuclear Umbrella over Belarus, While Lukashenka Mentioned Nuclear Weapons                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Kremlin to Share the “Oreshnik” Missile System with Lukashenko’s Regime to Expose Belarus to Potential NATO Retaliation                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Russia Solidifies Belarus in Its Sphere of Influence and Prepares for Conflict with Ukraine and the West                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Lukashenka’s Regime Contributed to the Creation of the “Oreshnik” and Seeks to Deploy It in Belarus                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                The Kremlin Shields Belarus with a Nuclear Umbrella but Silences Its Voice                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Belarusian Military Intelligence Prepares for NATO Aggression                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                What Does Trump’s Peace Plan for Ukraine Mean for Belarus?                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                The Dubious Contribution of Minsk to Eurasian Security: A Second Attempt                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Preparation for a New Strike on Ukraine: Minsk and Moscow Approve the Concept for the Strategic Maneuvers “Zapad-2025”                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Russia is amassing missile weapons in Belarus ahead of large-scale joint maneuvers in 2025                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                The arrival of Russian MiG-31K jets serves as a reminder of Belarus’ subordinate status                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                The New Normal: Lukashenka’s Regime Calls Russian Drones Ukrainian                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Has Russia Unveiled a “Nuclear Umbrella” Over Belarus to Create a Casus Belli with Ukraine and NATO?                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Frustrated by NATO’s secrecy, Minsk holds its cards close                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Minsk and Moscow forge security pact ahead of potential new Ukraine invasion from Belarus                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                    
                            
                                                
                            
                                Shahed drone strikes: Probing defenses or sending a message to an ally?                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                The Regime Vows to Go All the Way with Russia in the War Against Ukraine and Opposition to the West                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                The Kremlin Prepares a Response to the Kursk Raid by Ukrainian Forces                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Lukashenka Calls for Peace but Prepares for War                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                The Ukrainian Raid on Kursk May Accelerate Belarus’s Direct Involvement in the War, But Not Yet                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                “Historical exchange of spies” between the West and the Russian Federation showed the complete lack of subjectivity of the Lukashenka regime                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Repressions in the Defense Industry Following Insider Leaks Confirm Anti-War Sentiments in Belarusian Society                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                The Krieger Case: Is the Kremlin Turning Belarus into a Hub for “Spy” Exchanges?                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                China Did Not Support Escalation at the Ukrainian Border; Lukashenko Forced to Temporarily Retreat                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Minsk and Moscow Attempt to Drag China into Conflict with Ukraine and NATO                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Is the Regime Preparing Belarusians for a Future Casus Belli with Ukraine?                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                The sudden readiness inspection of the Belarusian army is set in the context of non-strategic nuclear exercises.                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Belarus and Russia practice using weapons of retaliation in the second phase of exercises                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Russia Expands Deliveries of Tactical Nuclear Weapons Carriers to Belarus                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                The regime is systematically working towards creating a casus belli with NATO                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Belarus Joins the Second Stage of Russia’s Non-Strategic Nuclear Forces Exercises                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Belarusian Army Prepares for Urban Warfare                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                
                    
                    
                                                
                            
                                Russia and Belarus Conduct Exercises on the Use of Tactical Nuclear Weapons                                                                    
                                                            
                    
                            
                                            
            
            
        
    Security issues
                                The Kremlin Plans to Absorb Belarus to Establish a Military Stronghold Against NATO                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            January 20 – January 26
                                                    
                                Minsk and Moscow Prepare for “Zapad-2025” Exercises and Do Not Plan to Invite NATO Observers                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            January 13 – January 19
                                                    
                                The Lukashenka Regime Concerned About the Incursion of Belarusian Volunteers Amid the Presidential Elections                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            January 6 – January 12
                                                    
                                2024: Everything is ready for war escalation. 2025: Reopening of the “northern front” against Ukraine                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            January 1 – January 7
                                                    
                                Putin Reminded of the Nuclear Umbrella over Belarus, While Lukashenka Mentioned Nuclear Weapons                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            December 16 – December 22
                                                    
                                Kremlin to Share the “Oreshnik” Missile System with Lukashenko’s Regime to Expose Belarus to Potential NATO Retaliation                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            December 9 – December 15
                                                    
                                Russia Solidifies Belarus in Its Sphere of Influence and Prepares for Conflict with Ukraine and the West                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            December 2 – December 8
                                                    
                                Lukashenka’s Regime Contributed to the Creation of the “Oreshnik” and Seeks to Deploy It in Belarus                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            November 25 – December 1
                                                    
                                The Kremlin Shields Belarus with a Nuclear Umbrella but Silences Its Voice                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            November 18 – November 24
                                                    
                                Belarusian Military Intelligence Prepares for NATO Aggression                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            November 11 – November 17
                                                    
                                What Does Trump’s Peace Plan for Ukraine Mean for Belarus?                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            November 4 – November 10
                                                    
                                The Dubious Contribution of Minsk to Eurasian Security: A Second Attempt                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            October 28 – November 3
                                                    
                                Preparation for a New Strike on Ukraine: Minsk and Moscow Approve the Concept for the Strategic Maneuvers “Zapad-2025”                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            October 21 – October 27
                                                    
                                Russia is amassing missile weapons in Belarus ahead of large-scale joint maneuvers in 2025                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            October 14 – October 20
                                                    
                                The arrival of Russian MiG-31K jets serves as a reminder of Belarus’ subordinate status                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            October 7 – October 13
                                                    
                                The New Normal: Lukashenka’s Regime Calls Russian Drones Ukrainian                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            September 30 – October 6
                                                    
                                Has Russia Unveiled a “Nuclear Umbrella” Over Belarus to Create a Casus Belli with Ukraine and NATO?                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            September 23 – September 29
                                                    
                                Frustrated by NATO’s secrecy, Minsk holds its cards close                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            September 16 – September 22
                                                    
                                Minsk and Moscow forge security pact ahead of potential new Ukraine invasion from Belarus                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            September 9 – September 15
                                                    
                                Shahed drone strikes: Probing defenses or sending a message to an ally?                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            September 2 – September 8
                                                    
                                The Regime Vows to Go All the Way with Russia in the War Against Ukraine and Opposition to the West                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            August 26 – September 1
                                                    
                                The Kremlin Prepares a Response to the Kursk Raid by Ukrainian Forces                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            August 19 – August 25
                                                    
                                Lukashenka Calls for Peace but Prepares for War                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            August 12 – August 18
                                                    
                                The Ukrainian Raid on Kursk May Accelerate Belarus’s Direct Involvement in the War, But Not Yet                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            August 5 – August 11
                                                    
                                “Historical exchange of spies” between the West and the Russian Federation showed the complete lack of subjectivity of the Lukashenka regime                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            July 29 – August 4
                                                    
                                Repressions in the Defense Industry Following Insider Leaks Confirm Anti-War Sentiments in Belarusian Society                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            July 22 – July 28
                                                    
                                The Krieger Case: Is the Kremlin Turning Belarus into a Hub for “Spy” Exchanges?                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            July 15 – July 21
                                                    
                                China Did Not Support Escalation at the Ukrainian Border; Lukashenko Forced to Temporarily Retreat                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            July 8 – July 14
                                                    
                                Minsk and Moscow Attempt to Drag China into Conflict with Ukraine and NATO                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            July 1 – July 7
                                                    
                                Is the Regime Preparing Belarusians for a Future Casus Belli with Ukraine?                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            June 24 – June 30
                                                    
                                The sudden readiness inspection of the Belarusian army is set in the context of non-strategic nuclear exercises.                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            June 17 – June 23
                                                    
                                Belarus and Russia practice using weapons of retaliation in the second phase of exercises                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            June 10 – June 16
                                                    
                                Russia Expands Deliveries of Tactical Nuclear Weapons Carriers to Belarus                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            June 3 – June 9
                                                    
                                The regime is systematically working towards creating a casus belli with NATO                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            May 27 – June 2
                                                    
                                Belarus Joins the Second Stage of Russia’s Non-Strategic Nuclear Forces Exercises                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            May 20 – May 26
                                                    
                                Belarusian Army Prepares for Urban Warfare                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            May 13 – May 19
                                                    
                                Russia and Belarus Conduct Exercises on the Use of Tactical Nuclear Weapons                                                                     
                                                            
                                                            May 6 – May 12