All trends
Mixed Messaging from Minsk
The field of political decisions is sharply narrowing
Minsk’s strategic autonomy diminishes
The possibility of a Russian military base in Belarus returns to the agenda
The Belarusian regime seeks to diversify conflict with the West
Zapad [West] -2021 becomes Russian
The Belarusian regime seeks to preserve critical communication channels with the West
A “Cordon sanitaire” may form around Belarus
The “fortress” of the Belarusian regime is besieged, but the “gate” to the West is ajar
“West-2021” will be held against a complex political background
The Belarusian regime finally turns into a threat to the West
Afghanistan will not trouble Belarus
The spiral of escalation continues
Minsk threatens regional security crisis
Lukashenka’s apocalyptic rhetoric is not actually about national defence
Minsk uses the issue of illegal migration to exert pressure on the EU
The Belarusian Security Council will receive additional powers
Belarusian-Ukrainian security relations will inevitably deteriorate
Minsk continues to exploit anti-Western narratives
Decree No.2 does not ensure state security
The leadership of Belarus: one or none
The strength of the CSTO is being tested by internal conflicts
Belarusian-Ukrainian relations are approaching a nadir
Russian fighter jets are already present in Belarus
Belarus and Poland teeter on the brink of confrontation
Political opponents of the Belarusian regime labelled as terrorists
The Belarusian Military-Industrial Complex is at risk
The Belarusian regime legalises repressive practices
Loss of confidence leads to new leadership at the Ministry of Emergency Situations and the Investigative Committee
Minsk uses Russia to intimidate the West. Again
The crime rate in Belarus increases for the second year running
The regime believes that there is a “Headquarters of the Revolution” and seeks to prevent spring protests
Belarusian neutrality is cheap fiction
The hypothetical Belarusian military mission in Syria is unlikely to be intended as a combat mission
Belarusian missile program proceeds, but the prospects are still uncertain
Minsk authorities wager on regional security issues
Critical dependence on Russian weapons will remain
Security issues
Mixed Messaging from Minsk 
September 20 – September 26
The field of political decisions is sharply narrowing 
September 13 – September 19
Minsk’s strategic autonomy diminishes
September 6 – September 12
The possibility of a Russian military base in Belarus returns to the agenda
August 30 – September 5
The Belarusian regime seeks to diversify conflict with the West
August 23 – August 29
Zapad [West] -2021 becomes Russian 
August 16 – August 22
The Belarusian regime seeks to preserve critical communication channels with the West
August 9 – August 15
A “Cordon sanitaire” may form around Belarus
August 2 – August 8
The “fortress” of the Belarusian regime is besieged, but the “gate” to the West is ajar
July 26 – August 1
“West-2021” will be held against a complex political background
July 19 – July 25
The Belarusian regime finally turns into a threat to the West
July 12 – July 18
Afghanistan will not trouble Belarus
July 5 – July 11
The spiral of escalation continues
June 28 – July 4
Minsk threatens regional security crisis
June 21 – June 27
Lukashenka’s apocalyptic rhetoric is not actually about national defence
June 14 – June 20
Minsk uses the issue of illegal migration to exert pressure on the EU
June 7 – June 13
The Belarusian Security Council will receive additional powers
May 31 – June 6
Belarusian-Ukrainian security relations will inevitably deteriorate
May 24 – May 30
Minsk continues to exploit anti-Western narratives
May 17 – May 23
Decree No.2 does not ensure state security
May 10 – May 16
The leadership of Belarus: one or none
May 3 – May 9
The strength of the CSTO is being tested by internal conflicts
April 26 – May 2
Belarusian-Ukrainian relations are approaching a nadir
April 19 – April 25
Russian fighter jets are already present in Belarus
April 12 – April 18
Belarus and Poland teeter on the brink of confrontation
April 5 – April 11
Political opponents of the Belarusian regime labelled as terrorists
March 29 – April 4
The Belarusian Military-Industrial Complex is at risk
March 22 – March 28
The Belarusian regime legalises repressive practices
March 15 – March 21
Loss of confidence leads to new leadership at the Ministry of Emergency Situations and the Investigative Committee
March 8 – March 14
Minsk uses Russia to intimidate the West. Again
March 1 – March 7
The crime rate in Belarus increases for the second year running
February 22 – February 28
The regime believes that there is a “Headquarters of the Revolution” and seeks to prevent spring protests
February 15 – February 21
Belarusian neutrality is cheap fiction
February 8 – February 14
The hypothetical Belarusian military mission in Syria is unlikely to be intended as a combat mission
February 1 – February 7
Belarusian missile program proceeds, but the prospects are still uncertain
January 25 – January 31
Minsk authorities wager on regional security issues
January 18 – January 24
Critical dependence on Russian weapons will remain
January 11 – January 17