All trends
Minsk demonstrates its inability to competently evaluate and respond to external challenges
Minsk awaits the West’s response to the Kremlin’s ultimatum
Minsk tries to get off the Russian escalation train
A new wave of repression before the constitutional referendum
Minsk abandons its longstanding positioning as “a regional security donor”
“Pre-war” rhetoric as a tool of Minsk’s pressure on the EU
The West has begun to speak a language that Minsk understands
The Kremlin has its own agenda regarding the confrontation between the Belarusian regime and the West
The Military Doctrine of the “Union State” and the Migration Crisis
Minsk once again invokes the “Polish threat.”
Lukashenka undermines COVID control measures as the leadership of the security forces is strengthened ahead of the referendum
Afghanistan is not a Belarusian Problem
The migration crisis escalates on both sides of the border
The Belarusian regime opens a Ukrainian Front
Mixed Messaging from Minsk
The field of political decisions is sharply narrowing
Minsk’s strategic autonomy diminishes
The possibility of a Russian military base in Belarus returns to the agenda
The Belarusian regime seeks to diversify conflict with the West
Zapad [West] -2021 becomes Russian
The Belarusian regime seeks to preserve critical communication channels with the West
A “Cordon sanitaire” may form around Belarus
The “fortress” of the Belarusian regime is besieged, but the “gate” to the West is ajar
“West-2021” will be held against a complex political background
The Belarusian regime finally turns into a threat to the West
Afghanistan will not trouble Belarus
The spiral of escalation continues
Minsk threatens regional security crisis
Lukashenka’s apocalyptic rhetoric is not actually about national defence
Minsk uses the issue of illegal migration to exert pressure on the EU
The Belarusian Security Council will receive additional powers
Belarusian-Ukrainian security relations will inevitably deteriorate
Minsk continues to exploit anti-Western narratives
Decree No.2 does not ensure state security
The leadership of Belarus: one or none
The strength of the CSTO is being tested by internal conflicts
Belarusian-Ukrainian relations are approaching a nadir
Security issues
Minsk demonstrates its inability to competently evaluate and respond to external challenges 
January 10 – January 16
Minsk awaits the West’s response to the Kremlin’s ultimatum 
December 20 – December 26
Minsk tries to get off the Russian escalation train 
December 13 – December 19
A new wave of repression before the constitutional referendum
December 6 – December 12
Minsk abandons its longstanding positioning as “a regional security donor”
November 29 – December 5
“Pre-war” rhetoric as a tool of Minsk’s pressure on the EU
November 22 – November 28
The West has begun to speak a language that Minsk understands
November 15 – November 21
The Kremlin has its own agenda regarding the confrontation between the Belarusian regime and the West
November 8 – November 14
The Military Doctrine of the “Union State” and the Migration Crisis
November 1 – November 7
Minsk once again invokes the “Polish threat.”
October 25 – October 31
Lukashenka undermines COVID control measures as the leadership of the security forces is strengthened ahead of the referendum
October 18 – October 24
Afghanistan is not a Belarusian Problem
October 11 – October 17
The migration crisis escalates on both sides of the border
October 4 – October 10
The Belarusian regime opens a Ukrainian Front
September 27 – October 3
Mixed Messaging from Minsk
September 20 – September 26
The field of political decisions is sharply narrowing
September 13 – September 19
Minsk’s strategic autonomy diminishes
September 6 – September 12
The possibility of a Russian military base in Belarus returns to the agenda
August 30 – September 5
The Belarusian regime seeks to diversify conflict with the West
August 23 – August 29
Zapad [West] -2021 becomes Russian
August 16 – August 22
The Belarusian regime seeks to preserve critical communication channels with the West
August 9 – August 15
A “Cordon sanitaire” may form around Belarus
August 2 – August 8
The “fortress” of the Belarusian regime is besieged, but the “gate” to the West is ajar
July 26 – August 1
“West-2021” will be held against a complex political background
July 19 – July 25
The Belarusian regime finally turns into a threat to the West
July 12 – July 18
Afghanistan will not trouble Belarus
July 5 – July 11
The spiral of escalation continues
June 28 – July 4
Minsk threatens regional security crisis
June 21 – June 27
Lukashenka’s apocalyptic rhetoric is not actually about national defence
June 14 – June 20
Minsk uses the issue of illegal migration to exert pressure on the EU
June 7 – June 13
The Belarusian Security Council will receive additional powers
May 31 – June 6
Belarusian-Ukrainian security relations will inevitably deteriorate
May 24 – May 30
Minsk continues to exploit anti-Western narratives
May 17 – May 23
Decree No.2 does not ensure state security
May 10 – May 16
The leadership of Belarus: one or none
May 3 – May 9
The strength of the CSTO is being tested by internal conflicts
April 26 – May 2
Belarusian-Ukrainian relations are approaching a nadir
April 19 – April 25