All trends
Rapidly changing workforce and regulations; stable functioning machine of violence
Repressive Sovietization of society with asset seizures from businesses and regime opponents
2022: A reactionary regime consolidates around Lukashenka
Lukashenka regains popularity as the security forces intensify the persecution of opponents
Redistributing assets: expropriation from opponents and apartments for the military
Opponents silenced, and businesses targeted for violating price controls
Democratic activists are purged ahead of elections as private sector finance is raided to shore up the public sector
The public sector is counting on import substitution, while Lukashenka focuses on the IT sector
The persecution of dissidents continues as the government seeks to counteract the fallout from Lukashenka’s price control decrees
The authorities continue to fine businesses and remain isolated from society
Surcharges on businesses and disloyal groups; non-stop repressions
Lukashenka’s populism destabilises trade as the regime targets exiled democratic leaders
The regime is intervening more directly in the economy and society
Lukashenka pivots to populism as the state apparatus seeks to suppress inflation
Lukashenka delays the introduction of the collegial management; the regime offers a dialogue with the loyalist opposition
Lukashenka makes contradictory statements regarding dissidents. Conciliatory gestures mixed with support for further repression
Continuing repression of activists and coercion of loyalty from private businesses
The ruling class aims to soften the regime’s image, but security forces insist on the logic of repression
The support base of Lukashenka’s regime narrows as demands for more collegial decision-making grow
The authorities foment fear in society as Lukashenka directs the creation of government-aligned “NGOs”
Increased government intervention in the economy and dysfunction in public administration
Direct control of the economy, increased censorship, and persecution of cultural dissidents
The authorities seize resources from businesses and banks as well as purge some ideologists and siloviki
Regional authorities mobilisation for harvest time; state investment in the economy returns
Redistribution of income to the regime; coerced loyalty of the population
The authorities repress civil society and trade unions while continuing with expropriations from businesses
Derogation of responsibility from the state to citizens and businesses in the social sphere
Polls suggest confidence in state institutions is rising, though security forces continue to compel obedience
The authorities cut social guarantees as security forces stamp out dissent
Lukashenka exerts direct control as imbalances in the state apparatus grow
Unbalanced economic policy, purging disloyal investors and entrepreneurs
Restrictions on competition in the medical sphere as authorities impose price controls
The state expands surcharges to taxi drivers and traders as state budgets are redistributed to the security forces
The state monopolises medical services; Beltelecom aims for total video surveillance
The ruling class engages in liberal rhetoric while restructuring the private medical sector to favour regime allies
Restrictions on medical businesses, tobacco, and investment; redistribution in favour of state business and loyalist entrepreneurs
Repressions in the banking and public sectors; seizures in anticipation of sanctions effects
The ruling elite
Rapidly changing workforce and regulations; stable functioning machine of violence 
January 16 – January 22
Repressive Sovietization of society with asset seizures from businesses and regime opponents 
January 9 – January 15
2022: A reactionary regime consolidates around Lukashenka
December 26 – January 1
Lukashenka regains popularity as the security forces intensify the persecution of opponents
December 12 – December 18
Redistributing assets: expropriation from opponents and apartments for the military
December 5 – December 11
Opponents silenced, and businesses targeted for violating price controls
November 28 – December 4
Democratic activists are purged ahead of elections as private sector finance is raided to shore up the public sector
November 21 – November 27
The public sector is counting on import substitution, while Lukashenka focuses on the IT sector
November 14 – November 20
The persecution of dissidents continues as the government seeks to counteract the fallout from Lukashenka’s price control decrees
November 7 – November 13
The authorities continue to fine businesses and remain isolated from society
October 31 – November 6
Surcharges on businesses and disloyal groups; non-stop repressions
October 24 – October 30
Lukashenka’s populism destabilises trade as the regime targets exiled democratic leaders
October 17 – October 23
The regime is intervening more directly in the economy and society
October 10 – October 16
Lukashenka pivots to populism as the state apparatus seeks to suppress inflation
October 3 – October 9
Lukashenka delays the introduction of the collegial management; the regime offers a dialogue with the loyalist opposition
September 26 – October 2
Lukashenka makes contradictory statements regarding dissidents. Conciliatory gestures mixed with support for further repression 
September 19 – September 25
Continuing repression of activists and coercion of loyalty from private businesses
September 12 – September 18
The ruling class aims to soften the regime’s image, but security forces insist on the logic of repression
September 5 – September 11
The support base of Lukashenka’s regime narrows as demands for more collegial decision-making grow
August 29 – September 4
The authorities foment fear in society as Lukashenka directs the creation of government-aligned “NGOs”
August 22 – August 28
Increased government intervention in the economy and dysfunction in public administration
August 15 – August 21
Direct control of the economy, increased censorship, and persecution of cultural dissidents
August 8 – August 14
The authorities seize resources from businesses and banks as well as purge some ideologists and siloviki
August 1 – August 7
Regional authorities mobilisation for harvest time; state investment in the economy returns
July 25 – July 31
Redistribution of income to the regime; coerced loyalty of the population
July 18 – July 24
The authorities repress civil society and trade unions while continuing with expropriations from businesses
July 11 – July 17
Derogation of responsibility from the state to citizens and businesses in the social sphere
July 4 – July 10
Polls suggest confidence in state institutions is rising, though security forces continue to compel obedience
June 27 – July 3
The authorities cut social guarantees as security forces stamp out dissent
June 20 – June 26
Lukashenka exerts direct control as imbalances in the state apparatus grow
June 13 – June 19
Unbalanced economic policy, purging disloyal investors and entrepreneurs
June 6 – June 12
Restrictions on competition in the medical sphere as authorities impose price controls
May 30 – June 5
The state expands surcharges to taxi drivers and traders as state budgets are redistributed to the security forces
May 23 – May 29
The state monopolises medical services; Beltelecom aims for total video surveillance
May 16 – May 22
The ruling class engages in liberal rhetoric while restructuring the private medical sector to favour regime allies
May 9 – May 15
Restrictions on medical businesses, tobacco, and investment; redistribution in favour of state business and loyalist entrepreneurs
May 2 – May 8
Repressions in the banking and public sectors; seizures in anticipation of sanctions effects
April 25 – May 1