All trends
Belarus-West relations
The shadow of an international tribunal hangs over the Belarusian regime
March 13 – March 19
Stumbling over Potash: Western Illusions regarding the Belarusian regime block agreement on sanctions
March 6 – March 12
While the new package of EU sanctions remains stalled some Western countries are taking the initiative
February 27 – March 5
The West is preparing to punish Belarus on the anniversary of the Russian military aggression against Ukraine
February 20 – February 26
The West’s efforts to persuade Lukashenka not to expand participation in the war against Ukraine were unsuccessful
February 13 – February 19
Poland is at the forefront of Western pressure as the Belarusian regime tries to play peacemaker
February 6 – February 12
The EU prepares sanctions in the event of a new invasion from Belarus. The US leaves open the possibility of dialogue with regime
January 30 – February 5
Synchronisation of sanctions: the line between Belarus and Russia is blurring
January 23 – January 29
The West is preparing new sanctions against Belarus as the anniversary of the Russian attack on Ukraine approaches
January 16 – January 22
Minsk failed to take advantage of the sanctions reprieve in relations with the West
January 9 – January 15
2022: Little prospect of normalization: the point of no return has been passed
December 26 – January 1
Is the Belarusian regime once again trying to assume the role of “honest broker”?
December 12 – December 18
Belarus did not fall under the 9th package of EU sanctions. Secret regime diplomacy at work?
December 5 – December 11
Will the West and Ukraine help with the isolation and de-occupation of Belarus?
November 28 – December 4
The regime’s foreign policy towards the West may change significantly
November 21 – November 27
The 9th package of Western sanctions is on the way as the regime aggravates the situation
November 14 – November 20
As the regime unsuccessfully tries to establish contacts with the West, new sanctions are on the way
November 7 – November 13
The regime claims it has no intention of going to war, but the West is prepared in any case
October 31 – November 6
As the West prepares new sanctions, the regime seeks to reorient itself to the CIS and Iran
October 24 – October 30
The Belarusian regime risks running into new Western sanctions
October 17 – October 23
New sanctions: loss of sovereignty punishable
October 10 – October 16
The regime tries to telegraph the West with nuclear threats and “non-participation” in the war
October 3 – October 9
The Belarusian regime protests at being labelled a co-aggressor but does nothing to refute this term
September 26 – October 2
The Lukashenka regime calls for dialogue as the West prepares the eighth package of sanctions
September 19 – September 25
Belarus hopes to outmanoeuvre the West with the help of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)
September 12 – September 18
A new round of horse trading over political prisoners will not alleviate the sanctions blockade
September 5 – September 11
Minsk gambles on the collapse of Euro-Atlantic unity and Russian victory
August 29 – September 4
The Belarusian regime hopes for a quick Russian victory and once again threatens the West
August 22 – August 28
The Lukashenka regime says it hears overtures from the West but prefers to negotiate from a position of strength
August 15 – August 21
On the second anniversary of the political crisis, the West retains its uncompromising position
August 8 – August 14
In response to Western sanctions: support for Russia against Ukraine and re-orientation to the “far abroad”
August 1 – August 7
Minsk develops an export diversification strategy in response to Western sanctions
July 25 – July 31
The West ignores signals from Minsk as the regime bets further afield
July 18 – July 24
The West softens some sanctions against Russia, but confirms pressure on Belarus
July 11 – July 17
The Belarusian regime escalates as the West prepares the seventh package of sanctions
July 4 – July 10
The West labels Russia a strategic security threat, while the Belarusian regime swears allegiance to the Kremlin
June 27 – July 3
The European Commission considers the future of Belarus as Lukashenka blackmails the West with nuclear weapons
June 20 – June 26