September 12 – September 18, 2022
The ruling elite

Continuing repression of activists and coercion of loyalty from private businesses

The situation got worse
Continuing repression of activists and coercion of loyalty from private businesses
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The authorities continue to use repression to depoliticise and deter supporters of change. Lukashenka’s regime not only targets civil society activists and initiatives but also imposes additional restrictions on private business.

Despite the announcement of an amnesty, including some protest movement activists, the authorities continue to repress supporters of change. Security forces maintain the high cost of dissent and discriminate against demographics suspected of disloyal behaviour.

The repression ratchet proceeds unabated: detentions, arrests, and searches continue. Courts impose long sentences on demonstrators, anti-war activists, and journalists. Repression against independent media and lawyers resumes. The Belarusian Association of Journalists reports at least eight police raids, five searches and one arrest of a journalist. On the Day of National Unity, 1335 people are recognised as political prisoners by human groups.

Ministry of Information blocks are expanding to independent media without an obvious political agenda, such as with environmental and ecological news.

The authorities are complicating the activities of entrepreneurs with tax increases to shore up the state budget.

The government’s actions reinforce the distrust of foreign business in Belarus and maintain the negative investment climate in the country. The authorities blocked the assets of four companies with capital from Cyprus, Latvia, and Poland. Foreign firms do not see medium-term development prospects and continue to close businesses in Belarus.

The ruling class is forced to introduce changes in the pension system, although some are sceptical about the reforms and criticise the changes as funded pension reform commences.

Efforts to ideologically indoctrinate children and young people intensify.

State policy reduces the share of small and medium-sized businesses in the economy and uses taxes and surcharges against disloyal population groups.

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Once a week, in coordination with a group of prominent Belarusian analysts, we provide analytical commentaries on the most topical and relevant issues, including the behind-the-scenes processes occurring in Belarus. These commentaries are available in Belarusian, Russian, and English.

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