All trends

Belarus-West relations

The shadow of an international tribunal hangs over the Belarusian regime

March 13 – March 19

Stumbling over Potash: Western Illusions regarding the Belarusian regime block agreement on sanctions

March 6 – March 12

While the new package of EU sanctions remains stalled some Western countries are taking the initiative

February 27 – March 5

The West is preparing to punish Belarus on the anniversary of the Russian military aggression against Ukraine

February 20 – February 26

The West’s efforts to persuade Lukashenka not to expand participation in the war against Ukraine were unsuccessful

February 13 – February 19

Poland is at the forefront of Western pressure as the Belarusian regime tries to play peacemaker

February 6 – February 12

The EU prepares sanctions in the event of a new invasion from Belarus. The US leaves open the possibility of dialogue with regime

January 30 – February 5

Synchronisation of sanctions: the line between Belarus and Russia is blurring

January 23 – January 29

The West is preparing new sanctions against Belarus as the anniversary of the Russian attack on Ukraine approaches

January 16 – January 22

Minsk failed to take advantage of the sanctions reprieve in relations with the West

January 9 – January 15

2022: Little prospect of normalization: the point of no return has been passed

December 26 – January 1

Is the Belarusian regime once again trying to assume the role of “honest broker”?

December 12 – December 18

Belarus did not fall under the 9th package of EU sanctions. Secret regime diplomacy at work?

December 5 – December 11

Will the West and Ukraine help with the isolation and de-occupation of Belarus?

November 28 – December 4

The regime’s foreign policy towards the West may change significantly

November 21 – November 27

The 9th package of Western sanctions is on the way as the regime aggravates the situation

November 14 – November 20

As the regime unsuccessfully tries to establish contacts with the West, new sanctions are on the way

November 7 – November 13

The regime claims it has no intention of going to war, but the West is prepared in any case

October 31 – November 6

As the West prepares new sanctions, the regime seeks to reorient itself to the CIS and Iran

October 24 – October 30

The Belarusian regime risks running into new Western sanctions

October 17 – October 23

New sanctions: loss of sovereignty punishable

October 10 – October 16

The regime tries to telegraph the West with nuclear threats and “non-participation” in the war

October 3 – October 9

The Belarusian regime protests at being labelled a co-aggressor but does nothing to refute this term

September 26 – October 2

The Lukashenka regime calls for dialogue as the West prepares the eighth package of sanctions

September 19 – September 25

Belarus hopes to outmanoeuvre the West with the help of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)

September 12 – September 18

A new round of horse trading over political prisoners will not alleviate the sanctions blockade

September 5 – September 11

Minsk gambles on the collapse of Euro-Atlantic unity and Russian victory

August 29 – September 4

The Belarusian regime hopes for a quick Russian victory and once again threatens the West

August 22 – August 28

The Lukashenka regime says it hears overtures from the West but prefers to negotiate from a position of strength

August 15 – August 21

On the second anniversary of the political crisis, the West retains its uncompromising position

August 8 – August 14

In response to Western sanctions: support for Russia against Ukraine and re-orientation to the “far abroad”

August 1 – August 7

Minsk develops an export diversification strategy in response to Western sanctions

July 25 – July 31

The West ignores signals from Minsk as the regime bets further afield

July 18 – July 24

The West softens some sanctions against Russia, but confirms pressure on Belarus

July 11 – July 17

The Belarusian regime escalates as the West prepares the seventh package of sanctions

July 4 – July 10

The West labels Russia a strategic security threat, while the Belarusian regime swears allegiance to the Kremlin

June 27 – July 3

The European Commission considers the future of Belarus as Lukashenka blackmails the West with nuclear weapons

June 20 – June 26