All trends
The shadow of an international tribunal hangs over the Belarusian regime
Stumbling over Potash: Western Illusions regarding the Belarusian regime block agreement on sanctions
While the new package of EU sanctions remains stalled some Western countries are taking the initiative
The West is preparing to punish Belarus on the anniversary of the Russian military aggression against Ukraine
The West’s efforts to persuade Lukashenka not to expand participation in the war against Ukraine were unsuccessful
Poland is at the forefront of Western pressure as the Belarusian regime tries to play peacemaker
The EU prepares sanctions in the event of a new invasion from Belarus. The US leaves open the possibility of dialogue with regime
Synchronisation of sanctions: the line between Belarus and Russia is blurring
The West is preparing new sanctions against Belarus as the anniversary of the Russian attack on Ukraine approaches
Minsk failed to take advantage of the sanctions reprieve in relations with the West
2022: Little prospect of normalization: the point of no return has been passed
Is the Belarusian regime once again trying to assume the role of “honest broker”?
Belarus did not fall under the 9th package of EU sanctions. Secret regime diplomacy at work?
Will the West and Ukraine help with the isolation and de-occupation of Belarus?
The regime’s foreign policy towards the West may change significantly
The 9th package of Western sanctions is on the way as the regime aggravates the situation
As the regime unsuccessfully tries to establish contacts with the West, new sanctions are on the way
The regime claims it has no intention of going to war, but the West is prepared in any case
As the West prepares new sanctions, the regime seeks to reorient itself to the CIS and Iran
The Belarusian regime risks running into new Western sanctions
New sanctions: loss of sovereignty punishable
The regime tries to telegraph the West with nuclear threats and “non-participation” in the war
The Belarusian regime protests at being labelled a co-aggressor but does nothing to refute this term
The Lukashenka regime calls for dialogue as the West prepares the eighth package of sanctions
Belarus hopes to outmanoeuvre the West with the help of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)
A new round of horse trading over political prisoners will not alleviate the sanctions blockade
Minsk gambles on the collapse of Euro-Atlantic unity and Russian victory
The Belarusian regime hopes for a quick Russian victory and once again threatens the West
The Lukashenka regime says it hears overtures from the West but prefers to negotiate from a position of strength
On the second anniversary of the political crisis, the West retains its uncompromising position
In response to Western sanctions: support for Russia against Ukraine and re-orientation to the “far abroad”
Minsk develops an export diversification strategy in response to Western sanctions
The West ignores signals from Minsk as the regime bets further afield
The West softens some sanctions against Russia, but confirms pressure on Belarus
The Belarusian regime escalates as the West prepares the seventh package of sanctions
The West labels Russia a strategic security threat, while the Belarusian regime swears allegiance to the Kremlin
The European Commission considers the future of Belarus as Lukashenka blackmails the West with nuclear weapons
Belarus-West relations
The shadow of an international tribunal hangs over the Belarusian regime
March 13 – March 19
Stumbling over Potash: Western Illusions regarding the Belarusian regime block agreement on sanctions
March 6 – March 12
While the new package of EU sanctions remains stalled some Western countries are taking the initiative
February 27 – March 5
The West is preparing to punish Belarus on the anniversary of the Russian military aggression against Ukraine
February 20 – February 26
The West’s efforts to persuade Lukashenka not to expand participation in the war against Ukraine were unsuccessful
February 13 – February 19
Poland is at the forefront of Western pressure as the Belarusian regime tries to play peacemaker
February 6 – February 12
The EU prepares sanctions in the event of a new invasion from Belarus. The US leaves open the possibility of dialogue with regime
January 30 – February 5
Synchronisation of sanctions: the line between Belarus and Russia is blurring
January 23 – January 29
The West is preparing new sanctions against Belarus as the anniversary of the Russian attack on Ukraine approaches
January 16 – January 22
Minsk failed to take advantage of the sanctions reprieve in relations with the West
January 9 – January 15
2022: Little prospect of normalization: the point of no return has been passed
December 26 – January 1
Is the Belarusian regime once again trying to assume the role of “honest broker”?
December 12 – December 18
Belarus did not fall under the 9th package of EU sanctions. Secret regime diplomacy at work?
December 5 – December 11
Will the West and Ukraine help with the isolation and de-occupation of Belarus?
November 28 – December 4
The regime’s foreign policy towards the West may change significantly
November 21 – November 27
The 9th package of Western sanctions is on the way as the regime aggravates the situation
November 14 – November 20
As the regime unsuccessfully tries to establish contacts with the West, new sanctions are on the way
November 7 – November 13
The regime claims it has no intention of going to war, but the West is prepared in any case
October 31 – November 6
As the West prepares new sanctions, the regime seeks to reorient itself to the CIS and Iran
October 24 – October 30
The Belarusian regime risks running into new Western sanctions
October 17 – October 23
New sanctions: loss of sovereignty punishable
October 10 – October 16
The regime tries to telegraph the West with nuclear threats and “non-participation” in the war
October 3 – October 9
The Belarusian regime protests at being labelled a co-aggressor but does nothing to refute this term
September 26 – October 2
The Lukashenka regime calls for dialogue as the West prepares the eighth package of sanctions
September 19 – September 25
Belarus hopes to outmanoeuvre the West with the help of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)
September 12 – September 18
A new round of horse trading over political prisoners will not alleviate the sanctions blockade
September 5 – September 11
Minsk gambles on the collapse of Euro-Atlantic unity and Russian victory
August 29 – September 4
The Belarusian regime hopes for a quick Russian victory and once again threatens the West
August 22 – August 28
The Lukashenka regime says it hears overtures from the West but prefers to negotiate from a position of strength
August 15 – August 21
On the second anniversary of the political crisis, the West retains its uncompromising position
August 8 – August 14
In response to Western sanctions: support for Russia against Ukraine and re-orientation to the “far abroad”
August 1 – August 7
Minsk develops an export diversification strategy in response to Western sanctions
July 25 – July 31
The West ignores signals from Minsk as the regime bets further afield
July 18 – July 24
The West softens some sanctions against Russia, but confirms pressure on Belarus
July 11 – July 17
The Belarusian regime escalates as the West prepares the seventh package of sanctions
July 4 – July 10
The West labels Russia a strategic security threat, while the Belarusian regime swears allegiance to the Kremlin
June 27 – July 3
The European Commission considers the future of Belarus as Lukashenka blackmails the West with nuclear weapons
June 20 – June 26