May 6 – May 12, 2019
Belarus-Russia relations

Contamination of the Druzhba pipeline has strengthened Belarus’ negotiating position on the tax manoeuvre

The situation has not changed
Contamination of the Druzhba pipeline has strengthened Belarus’ negotiating position on the tax manoeuvre

Belarusian refineries are resuming operations after the incident in the Druzhba oil pipeline and Belarus anticipates an amicable resolution of the issue with compensation for suffered damages. The Kremlin appears to be in the mood for political reconciliation, however, not for reducing trade barriers for Belarusian products.

Annual Victory Day celebrations on May 9th more and more confirm the course of the post-Soviet states towards strengthening statehood and independence from each other. Belarus, like other countries, has held Victory Day celebrations independently, emphasizing precisely independence and statehood. Moreover, Moscow no longer sends invitations to participate in its parades.

The Russian Investigative Committee has told its version of the contamination of the Druzhba pipeline, i.e. that leaders of small oil companies added contaminated oil to the oil discharge unit to hide the embezzlement of USD 15,000. The defendants and representatives of the Russian association of independent oil producers have noted that independent small producers have neither the required amounts of organic chlorine nor oil.

However, regardless of the exact reason behind the contamination of the Druzhba pipeline, Belarus rightly expects compensation, since Russia is liable in any case. The new situation strengthens Belarus’ position in negotiations on the compensation for the tax manoeuvre in the Russian oil industry.

The incident at the Druzhba pipeline has prompted the Kremlin to cover other aspects of relations with Belarus in a conciliatory tone. However, trade barriers for Belarusian products, in particular, the ban on dairy supplies have not been reduced.

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Once a week, in coordination with a group of prominent Belarusian analysts, we provide analytical commentaries on the most topical and relevant issues, including the behind-the-scenes processes occurring in Belarus. These commentaries are available in Belarusian, Russian, and English.

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