International trade successes bolster Belarusian ruble
The situation has not changed
In June 2014, the international trade surplus totalled USD 240 million (the best result in 2014).
As a result, the pressure on the foreign exchange market has reduced, the international reserves have been used at a slower pace to pay out the outstanding public debt in foreign currency, foreign currency inflows have increased due to growing exports, and some measures, such as licensing, have proved their efficiency in curbing food and industrial imports. Given the expected negative impact of the sanctions on the Russian economy, Belarus’ exports of engineering products may decrease further, but could be compensated with increased exports and higher prices on meat and dairy products.
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Once a week, in coordination with a group of prominent Belarusian analysts, we provide analytical commentaries on the most topical and relevant issues, including the behind-the-scenes processes occurring in Belarus. These commentaries are available in Belarusian, Russian, and English.
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Situation in Belarus
October 14 – October 20
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Paternalism In Decline, Belarusian Euroscepticism, And The Influence Of Russia
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The Path of Dependency: Faith and Loyalty by Necessity
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Lukashenka’s Regime Gained Modest Attention from the U.S.
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The Shadow of The Hague Looms Over the Lukashenka’s Regime
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Minsk Proposes a “Reset” with the West, Aiming for Lithuania
September 23 – September 29
Russia is amassing missile weapons in Belarus ahead of large-scale joint maneuvers in 2025
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The arrival of Russian MiG-31K jets serves as a reminder of Belarus’ subordinate status
October 7 – October 13
The New Normal: Lukashenka’s Regime Calls Russian Drones Ukrainian
September 30 – October 6
Has Russia Unveiled a “Nuclear Umbrella” Over Belarus to Create a Casus Belli with Ukraine and NATO?
September 23 – September 29
Democratic Forces: Walking the Razor’s Edge of Repression
October 14 – October 20
Democratic Forces: In Pursuit of The Hague for Lukashenka
October 7 – October 13
Elections 2025: Democratic Forces Distance Themselves from the Domestic Political Calendar
September 30 – October 6
Tsikhanouskaya’s Cabinet: International Standing and Internal Criticism
September 23 – September 29
Elections 2025: Lukashenka Strives to Regain Legitimacy with Carrots and Sticks
October 14 – October 20
The regime sends a signal to opponents: expropriation for critics, belarusianization for the loyal
October 7 – October 13
Start of Lukashenka’s Election Campaign
September 30 – October 6
State Propaganda: Focus on Dividing Democratic Forces
September 23 – September 29