Situation in Belarus
May 9 – May 15
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Once a week, in coordination with a group of leading Belarusian analysts, we provide analytical commentaries to the most topical and relevant issues, including on behind the scenes processes ongoing in Belarus, in Russian and English.
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RU
Constitutional referendum: main consequences
April 12, 2022
Speakers: Anatoliy Lebedko, Andrei Kazakevich
Video
How to count the political prisoners: are the new criteria needed?
March 28, 2022
Speakers: Aleh Hulak, Aleh Aheyeu, Viachaslau Kasinierau
Video
Paternalism In Decline, Belarusian Euroscepticism, And The Influence Of Russia
October 11, 2021
Video
As the West tightens sanctions, the Belarusian regime distances itself from the war
May 9 – May 15
The Belarusian regime hopes to mediate between Russia and the West while demanding security guarantees in the face of new sanctions
May 2 – May 8
The Belarusian regime is rapidly losing relevance in the eyes of the West
April 25 – May 1
The West has not rejected dialogue with Belarus in principle, although it considers it a co-aggressor
April 18 – April 24
Minsk toughens rhetoric as the West declines to engage in dialogue
May 9 – May 15
Minsk wants the Russian-Ukrainian war to end
May 2 – May 8
Minsk will continue to try to distance itself from Russia’s war against Ukraine
April 25 – May 1
Minsk tries to remain relevant to regional security geopolitics
April 18 – April 24
Democratic forces shape the international agenda as partisan protests against the regime continue
May 9 – May 15
Independent media and state propaganda reach audience parity. Ultimatum positions remain popular
May 2 – May 8
Democrats strengthen their position internationally; tensions in civil society continue to rise
April 25 – May 1
An ultimatum strategy prevails for civil society and democratic forces
April 18 – April 24
The ruling class engages in liberal rhetoric while restructuring the private medical sector to favour regime allies
May 9 – May 15
Restrictions on medical businesses, tobacco, and investment; redistribution in favour of state business and loyalist entrepreneurs
May 2 – May 8
Repressions in the banking and public sectors; seizures in anticipation of sanctions effects
April 25 – May 1
Escalation of repression but forced concessions for business
April 18 – April 24