Власти формируют в обществе ощущение безнадежности и разочарованности от уличных протестов
The situation has not changed
Международная правозащитная организация Amnesty International признала узником совести активиста Дмитрия Полиенко. Официальный Минск рассчитывает на незаинтересованность Брюсселя обрывать тенденцию по нормализации отношений с Беларусью в ближайшие месяцы. Власти также стремятся деполитизировать общество и предотвратить протестную мобилизацию в осенне-зимний период демонстрацией неотвратимости наказания и поддержания атмосферы разочарования среди широких слоев населения. По всей видимости, возобновление беларуским руководством дискуссий о новой редакции декрета о тунеядцах также должно вызвать впечатление безуспешности политизации протестов и попыток уличного давления на власти среди его потенциальных участников.
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Once a week, in coordination with a group of prominent Belarusian analysts, we provide analytical commentaries on the most topical and relevant issues, including the behind-the-scenes processes occurring in Belarus. These commentaries are available in Belarusian, Russian, and English.
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Situation in Belarus
January 20 – January 26
Constitutional referendum: main consequences
April 12, 2022
Speakers: Anatoliy Lebedko, Andrei Kazakevich
Video
How to count the political prisoners: are the new criteria needed?
March 28, 2022
Speakers: Aleh Hulak, Aleh Aheyeu, Viachaslau Kasinierau
Video
Paternalism In Decline, Belarusian Euroscepticism, And The Influence Of Russia
October 11, 2021
Video
A Nuclear Power Plant Could Break Down. So, Why Not Build a Spare?
January 20 – January 26
Will the Consumer Boom Continue in 2025?
January 13 – January 19
Not a Step Back. Not a Step Forward: Chasing “Victory” in the Cold Waters of Uncertainty
January 6 – January 12
2024: Life Behind the “Iron Curtain”. 2025: A Game of Monopoly or the Path of Dependence
December 30 – January 5
The Shift from West to East Turned into a Fiasco for Lukashenka Regime
January 20 – January 26
The West Has Defined Its Position on the Presidential “Pseudo-Elections”
January 13 – January 19
Democratic Forces Rely on Poland’s EU Presidency
January 6 – January 12
2024: On the Path to Sanctions Synchronization. 2025: No Breakthroughs
January 1 – January 7
The Kremlin Plans to Absorb Belarus to Establish a Military Stronghold Against NATO
January 20 – January 26
Minsk and Moscow Prepare for “Zapad-2025” Exercises and Do Not Plan to Invite NATO Observers
January 13 – January 19
The Lukashenka Regime Concerned About the Incursion of Belarusian Volunteers Amid the Presidential Elections
January 6 – January 12
2024: Everything is ready for war escalation. 2025: Reopening of the “northern front” against Ukraine
January 1 – January 7
Democratic Forces: International Isolation of the Regime and Decreased Influence on the Domestic Political Agenda
January 20 – January 26
Tsikhanouskaya-2025: The Connecting Element in the Architecture of Democratic Forces
January 13 – January 19
Democratic Forces: From Warsaw to Brussels
January 6 – January 12
2024: The Year of Political Unity for Democratic Forces. 2025: A Fragile Coalition in a Time of Political Turmoil
January 1 – January 7
The Dictator’s Benefit: The Regime Passed a Stress Test
January 20 – January 26
Propaganda Ahead of Election Day: Lukashenka Is Immortal, Merciful, and Invincible
January 13 – January 19
The Election Nears Its Final Stage: Everything Is Going According to Plan
January 6 – January 12
2024: The Year of Cult of Personality Formation. 2025: Electoral Catharsis of the Regime
December 30 – January 5