August 19 – August 25, 2019
Election campaign 2020 (Archive)

Election authorities rearrange some constituencies; all political organizations aim to participate in the parliamentary elections

The situation has not changed
Election authorities rearrange some constituencies; all political organizations aim to participate in the parliamentary elections

Even the most consistent supporters of non-participation in elections, for example, the “European Belarus” organization, which has not participated in a single campaign since 2010, have announced their participation in the upcoming parliamentary campaign. Amid higher than anticipated opposition activity, the authorities are likely to screen candidates more carefully.

Following the Statkevich-led Belarusian National Congress’ (BNC) decision to participate in the upcoming campaign, “European Belarus”, headed by Andrei Sannikau, a former presidential candidate in 2010, who has most consistently defended the non-participation in the elections, has announced the organisation’s participation in the parliamentary elections. Until now, “European Belarus”, being a BNC member, regarded public protests as the only possible form of participation in Belarusian politics. That said, “European Belarus” still regards such participation as an opportunity to organize protests. “European Belarus” representative Yauhen Afnahel said, that the purpose of participation was to inflict maximum damage to the Lukashenko regime, for example, to restore sanctions.

Meanwhile, the stated goals of the centre-right coalition’s participation in the elections, which abandoned the non-participation strategy in 2016, differ. At a press conference on August 21st, 2019 and in an interview with Euroradio, they said that the purpose of their participation is to increase political influence, gain new supporters, promote local agendas they support, since during the elections authorities are more responsive to people’s appeals, and to collect evidence of falsifications. In addition, an election campaign is the only time when public activity is free of charges.

On the issue of participation, it should be noted that politically engaged audiences in social media support non-participation and have lashed out at the opposition for their electoral plans.

Supporters of the ultimatum wing of the opposition have not voted before, but the very fact of numerous candidates in the elections and the need to collect signatures for their nomination, may activate non-politicized voters. To prevent such surprises, the CEC has rearranged some constituencies, adding to some of them areas with inactive voters, e.g. either remote or sparsely populated areas. This would give the authorities some room for manoeuvre.

The CEC has launched an information resource for the 2019 elections, which is very helpful, since the media, both state-controlled and independent provide poor coverage of the ongoing campaign.

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Once a week, in coordination with a group of prominent Belarusian analysts, we provide analytical commentaries on the most topical and relevant issues, including the behind-the-scenes processes occurring in Belarus. These commentaries are available in Belarusian, Russian, and English.

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