Two main opposition alliances form ahead of presidential campaign in Belarus
The situation has not changed
Most popular opposition politician Uladzimir Nyaklyayeu, who has recently announced his divorce from the opposition, is not planning to abandon politics completely and still may participate in the upcoming elections, if civil society groups offer their support. The opposition still has not agreed a joint strategy for the presidential campaign and continues to create pre-election alliances around two main centres – the United Civil Party and its leader Anatol Lyabedzka, and “Tell the Truth!” campaign and its activist Tatsiana Karatkevich. The opposition is unlikely to nominate other alternative candidates for the presidency due to the scarcity of resources.
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Once a week, in coordination with a group of prominent Belarusian analysts, we provide analytical commentaries on the most topical and relevant issues, including the behind-the-scenes processes occurring in Belarus. These commentaries are available in Belarusian, Russian, and English.
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Situation in Belarus
December 9 – December 15
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Paternalism In Decline, Belarusian Euroscepticism, And The Influence Of Russia
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Episodes of “Black November”: The Trump Factor, Sanctions, and Liquid Currency
November 25 – December 1
The Dollar Falling Upward: A New Exchange Rate Reality or Currency Normality?
November 18 – November 24
EU Imposes New Sanctions on Belarus Despite Calls from Democratic Forces for a Differentiated Strategy
December 9 – December 15
Strategic Dialogue with the USA: Attempt to Keep Washington’s Focus on Belarus
December 2 – December 8
The Belarusian Issue Ahead of the Leadership Change in the EU
November 25 – December 1
Lukashenka’s Peacekeeping Intentions Clash with the Kremlin’s Plans for Ukraine
November 18 – November 24
Kremlin to Share the “Oreshnik” Missile System with Lukashenko’s Regime to Expose Belarus to Potential NATO Retaliation
December 9 – December 15
Russia Solidifies Belarus in Its Sphere of Influence and Prepares for Conflict with Ukraine and the West
December 2 – December 8
Lukashenka’s Regime Contributed to the Creation of the “Oreshnik” and Seeks to Deploy It in Belarus
November 25 – December 1
The Kremlin Shields Belarus with a Nuclear Umbrella but Silences Its Voice
November 18 – November 24
Dilution of the Democratic Forces’ Agenda: Isolation or De-escalation?
December 9 – December 15
Democratic Forces: Navigating the “Elections” Without Losses
December 2 – December 8
Tsikhanouskaya’s Office: Consolidation and Protection of Activists
November 25 – December 1
New Challenges: Kanapatskaya and the Security Forces’ Special Operations
November 18 – November 24
The Conveyor Belt of Re-education of Dissenters: New Prison Spaces at the Expense of Amnesty
December 9 – December 15
Deferred Transition of the Lukashenka Family
December 2 – December 8
Lukashenka’s Regime: Navigating Elections Ahead of a Crisis
November 25 – December 1
Elections in Full Swing: Lukashenka Everywhere
November 18 – November 24