February 2 – February 8, 2015

Belarusian foreign trade under pressure from recession in Russia

The situation has not changed
Belarusian foreign trade under pressure from recession in Russia

In December 2014, foreign trade deficit totalled USD 1369.7 million, an all-time low since November 2010.

Main factors, which influenced this situation were devaluation of the Russian rouble, and fall in petrochemicals and oil price. In the short run, the foreign trade deficit might be reduced due to the reduced demand on imports. The moratorium on VAT repayments will be prolonged, and the Belarusian rouble‟s devaluation will reduce the number of Belarusian customers in Ukraine and Russia, as well as, chaotic imports to Belarus. However, the positive effects from the reduced imports might be offset by lower profit margins from exports of petrochemicals and reduced sales of anti-oxidants and bitumen mixtures.

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Once a week, in coordination with a group of prominent Belarusian analysts, we provide analytical commentaries on the most topical and relevant issues, including the behind-the-scenes processes occurring in Belarus. These commentaries are available in Belarusian, Russian, and English.

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