Доверие населения к вкладам в национальной валюте вновь возросло
The situation has not changed
По данным Нацбанка, в июле, несмотря на снижение депозитных ставок, прирост срочных вкладов населения в национальной валюте составил BYR1 197,5 млрд. Это максимальный прирост данного показателя с января 2014 года.
На фоне предсказуемой динамики ослабления курса белорусского рубля к доллару США ожидается сохранение привлекательности рублевых депозитов относительно депозитов в иностранной валюте. Прирост депозитов в иностранной валюте будет происходить преимущественно за счет капитализации процентов, сохранится чистое предложение наличной иностранной валюты физическими лицами. В случае выпуска государственных валютных облигаций для населения по ставкам 6,5-7% годовых, они могут иметь достаточно высокую ликвидность.
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Once a week, in coordination with a group of prominent Belarusian analysts, we provide analytical commentaries on the most topical and relevant issues, including the behind-the-scenes processes occurring in Belarus. These commentaries are available in Belarusian, Russian, and English.
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Situation in Belarus
July 15 – July 21
Constitutional referendum: main consequences
April 12, 2022
Speakers: Anatoliy Lebedko, Andrei Kazakevich
Video
How to count the political prisoners: are the new criteria needed?
March 28, 2022
Speakers: Aleh Hulak, Aleh Aheyeu, Viachaslau Kasinierau
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Paternalism In Decline, Belarusian Euroscepticism, And The Influence Of Russia
October 11, 2021
Video
The Straight Path to Import Substitution
July 15 – July 21
Digital Geopolitics: Creating Our Own “National” Stack
July 8 – July 14
Economy in the morning – single currency in the evening. But Money First
July 1 – July 7
XI Forum of Regions: Lilliputians Breed Ever Smaller Lilliputians
June 24 – June 30
The Regime Introduces Visa-Free Entry for European Countries, While the EU Strengthens the Iron Curtain for Belarusians
July 15 – July 21
The Regime Pretends to Take Criticism Seriously and Reduces Migration Pressure. But for How Long?
July 8 – July 14
Amnesty Does Not Remove the Belarusian Question from the UN Agenda; Claims from the West and China Persist
July 1 – July 7
The EU Expands Anti-Russian Sanctions to Belarus
June 24 – June 30
The Krieger Case: Is the Kremlin Turning Belarus into a Hub for “Spy” Exchanges?
July 15 – July 21
China Did Not Support Escalation at the Ukrainian Border; Lukashenko Forced to Temporarily Retreat
July 8 – July 14
Minsk and Moscow Attempt to Drag China into Conflict with Ukraine and NATO
July 1 – July 7
Is the Regime Preparing Belarusians for a Future Casus Belli with Ukraine?
June 24 – June 30
Strategy of Democratic Forces for the 2025 Elections: To Boycott or to Participate
July 15 – July 21
Diplomatic Achievements of Democratic Forces and Communication Failure with Belarusians
July 8 – July 14
Calibration of Positions: Sanctions on the Regime and Mobility for Belarusians
July 1 – July 7
Democratic forces are encountering dual leadership: Tsikhanouskaya’s leadership vs Latushka’s coalition
June 24 – June 30
Regime Doppelgängers: Lukashenko’s Appointees in the Regions
July 15 – July 21
Clashes Among Lukashenka Supporters: Propagandists vs. “Russian World” Activists
July 8 – July 14
After the Return of “Popular Love” – Liberalization 4.0?
July 1 – July 7
Turning Back to the 2000s – Regaining Public Favor
June 24 – June 30